Fear & Greed hit 13 today. The old line: "be greedy when others are fearful."
So I checked every Extreme Fear wave (15 or lower) since 2018 against $BTC daily data.
11 waves before this one. In 9, price fell another 25% or more within 6 months.
First close of the wave, then the lowest low after:
• Sep 2018: 6,516, then 3,156 in Dec (-52%)
• Jan 2022: 43,082, then 17,622 in Jun (-59%)
• Nov 2025: 99,692, then 60,000 in Feb 2026 (-40%)
• Mar 2020: 4,800, then 3,782 next day (-21%), then 9,885 in 90 days
Median further drop: 40%. Smallest: 12% (Feb 2025).
Not a sell signal either: 90 days later $BTC was higher in 5 of 11.
Extreme Fear shows the mood, not the bottom.
What to do:
1. Split buys into 3+ parts, spaced by price or weeks
2. Size so another 40% drop won't force you to sell
3. No leverage on a "fear bottom" call
Fear at 13: DCA or WAIT? Drop one word 👇
Source: alternative.me, Binance Spot. Not financial advice.
#FearAndGreed #TradingPsychology #CryptoMarket $BTC
So I checked every Extreme Fear wave (15 or lower) since 2018 against $BTC daily data.
11 waves before this one. In 9, price fell another 25% or more within 6 months.
First close of the wave, then the lowest low after:
• Sep 2018: 6,516, then 3,156 in Dec (-52%)
• Jan 2022: 43,082, then 17,622 in Jun (-59%)
• Nov 2025: 99,692, then 60,000 in Feb 2026 (-40%)
• Mar 2020: 4,800, then 3,782 next day (-21%), then 9,885 in 90 days
Median further drop: 40%. Smallest: 12% (Feb 2025).
Not a sell signal either: 90 days later $BTC was higher in 5 of 11.
Extreme Fear shows the mood, not the bottom.
What to do:
1. Split buys into 3+ parts, spaced by price or weeks
2. Size so another 40% drop won't force you to sell
3. No leverage on a "fear bottom" call
Fear at 13: DCA or WAIT? Drop one word 👇
Source: alternative.me, Binance Spot. Not financial advice.
#FearAndGreed #TradingPsychology #CryptoMarket $BTC
