📊 In-Depth Analysis: The Real Force Behind $BTC Falling Below $70,000

Last night, $BTC briefly fell to $68,000, its lowest level since August. Liquidations across the crypto market exceeded $1.6 billion, and the Fear & Greed Index dropped to 20 (extreme fear).

Coinbase Institutional’s weekly report says the main cause of this downturn wasn’t the Binance hack, but a reversal in expectations for Fed policy: October’s nonfarm payrolls and CPI both came in above expectations, and markets have now fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate hike in December, with cumulative hikes of 64 basis points expected over the next 12 months.

Three key signals:
① Stablecoin supply saw a record 30-day contraction of $11.5 billion, drying up fresh capital in the market.
② Spot BTC ETFs saw $880 million in net outflows this week. IBIT alone saw over $200 million flow out in a single day, as institutions continued to pull back.
③ If the price continues to hold below $73,000, it will likely test the $66,000–$68,000 support zone.

On the other hand, Aave V4 deposits topped $1.3 billion, while protocol revenue hit a record $44.6 million—DeFi fundamentals haven’t collapsed. Extreme fear has historically been a contrarian indicator. At this point, it’s not about having the courage to buy the dip, but about managing cash flow: keep enough reserves and don’t spend all your ammunition too early.

NFA | DYOR

#比特币 #BTC #加密货币 #ETF #MarketAnalysis