I guess the supporters of the 4-year cycle will be looking for excuses again.
The yearly chart. According to the theory, 1 year down, 3 years up. What could possibly go wrong?!
The thing is, the theory never worked. Just because something worked doesn’t mean it’s a law or a rule. It’s simply a coincidence. But the human brain is used to looking for patterns and logical explanations for everything. It’s easier that way. The brain can’t exist in chaos.
Can we close 2026 with a green candle? Theoretically, yes. But I have a feeling that everything will happen in threes. I mean, we had one pattern three times, and now Bitcoin will repeat another pattern three times. Then eventually we’ll have one year up, one year down. In other words, everything is moving upwards while both volatility and percentage returns are shrinking. $BTC
The yearly chart. According to the theory, 1 year down, 3 years up. What could possibly go wrong?!
The thing is, the theory never worked. Just because something worked doesn’t mean it’s a law or a rule. It’s simply a coincidence. But the human brain is used to looking for patterns and logical explanations for everything. It’s easier that way. The brain can’t exist in chaos.
Can we close 2026 with a green candle? Theoretically, yes. But I have a feeling that everything will happen in threes. I mean, we had one pattern three times, and now Bitcoin will repeat another pattern three times. Then eventually we’ll have one year up, one year down. In other words, everything is moving upwards while both volatility and percentage returns are shrinking. $BTC
