Longs vs shorts: what my futures bot actually did in 41 days
Last week I promised real numbers. Here they are — testnet funds only, no real money at risk.
Start: ~5,000 USDT. Closed trades: 25. Winners: 8 (32%).
🟢 Longs: 3 trades, 0 winners, −75.21 USDT. All three were trend entries in October, and all three hit the stop right as the trend turned.
🔴 Shorts: 22 trades, 8 winners, +7.60 USDT. Basically flat.
Net by trade log: −67.61 USDT. Balance: 4,999.85 → 4,937.15 (−1.25%). Max drawdown: 2.0%.
On $BTC specifically: 9 trades, all shorts, 1 winner, −34.10 USDT.
Best trade: ETH short on the CPI release, +47.01 USDT in one minute.
Worst trade: the same setup two minutes later. The bot re-entered the move, got stopped, −29.28. A third entry on BTC lost another −29.26. One good trade, two bad ones, and the whole event ended at −11.53.
What I take from it: the shorts didn't make money, they just didn't lose it. And re-entering a news spike is where the bot gave back its best result. That rule is next on my list to fix.
25 trades is too few to judge a strategy, so I keep it on testnet until there are at least 100.
Would you let a bot re-enter after a fast winning trade, or lock it out for the rest of the event?
#TradingBot #AlgoTrading #Testnet
Last week I promised real numbers. Here they are — testnet funds only, no real money at risk.
Start: ~5,000 USDT. Closed trades: 25. Winners: 8 (32%).
🟢 Longs: 3 trades, 0 winners, −75.21 USDT. All three were trend entries in October, and all three hit the stop right as the trend turned.
🔴 Shorts: 22 trades, 8 winners, +7.60 USDT. Basically flat.
Net by trade log: −67.61 USDT. Balance: 4,999.85 → 4,937.15 (−1.25%). Max drawdown: 2.0%.
On $BTC specifically: 9 trades, all shorts, 1 winner, −34.10 USDT.
Best trade: ETH short on the CPI release, +47.01 USDT in one minute.
Worst trade: the same setup two minutes later. The bot re-entered the move, got stopped, −29.28. A third entry on BTC lost another −29.26. One good trade, two bad ones, and the whole event ended at −11.53.
What I take from it: the shorts didn't make money, they just didn't lose it. And re-entering a news spike is where the bot gave back its best result. That rule is next on my list to fix.
25 trades is too few to judge a strategy, so I keep it on testnet until there are at least 100.
Would you let a bot re-enter after a fast winning trade, or lock it out for the rest of the event?
#TradingBot #AlgoTrading #Testnet