$BTC My honest opinion: **lean hot, about 60/40 — but not a strong call.**
Why I lean hot:
- CPI on Tuesday came in **0.40% vs 0.30% forecast** — hotter than expected
- Last PPI was **1.3% in one month**, huge, mostly energy
- YoY forecast is already up to **6.6% from 6.3%** — inflation is rising, not cooling
But one warning: the market already expects hot. A print right at forecast (0.4% MoM, 0.3% core) might not dump BTC much — it's priced in. It would need to be **hotter than forecast** to really push down toward 66,500.
Cold would be the surprise. If PPI comes in at 0.1-0.2%, BTC could spike up fast and hit your stop.
Why I lean hot:
- CPI on Tuesday came in **0.40% vs 0.30% forecast** — hotter than expected
- Last PPI was **1.3% in one month**, huge, mostly energy
- YoY forecast is already up to **6.6% from 6.3%** — inflation is rising, not cooling
But one warning: the market already expects hot. A print right at forecast (0.4% MoM, 0.3% core) might not dump BTC much — it's priced in. It would need to be **hotter than forecast** to really push down toward 66,500.
Cold would be the surprise. If PPI comes in at 0.1-0.2%, BTC could spike up fast and hit your stop.