$BTC is sitting right on its 200-week moving average around $68,000. If bulls can't hold this and close the week above it, things could get messy.
Historically, midterm election years have crushed crypto short-term but set up massive long-term entries. The pattern is weirdly consistent:
Nov 2014 (midterm): $320
Nov 2016: $750
Nov 2017: $11,000 — that's a 34x from the midterm low
Nov 2018 (midterm): $3,500
Nov 2020: $19,000
Nov 2021: $69,000 — 20x from the midterm low
Nov 2022 (midterm): $20,500
Nov 2024: $99,000
Nov 2025 projection: $111,000 — about 5.5x from the midterm low
If the cycle holds:
Nov 2026 (midterm): could drop back to ~$72,000
Nov 2028–2029: a 3x move from there would push $BTC above $200,000
The setup is simple: midterm years hurt, but they also mark generational lows. If you're long-term focused, these dips are where fortunes get built — not during the euphoria.
Historically, midterm election years have crushed crypto short-term but set up massive long-term entries. The pattern is weirdly consistent:
Nov 2014 (midterm): $320
Nov 2016: $750
Nov 2017: $11,000 — that's a 34x from the midterm low
Nov 2018 (midterm): $3,500
Nov 2020: $19,000
Nov 2021: $69,000 — 20x from the midterm low
Nov 2022 (midterm): $20,500
Nov 2024: $99,000
Nov 2025 projection: $111,000 — about 5.5x from the midterm low
If the cycle holds:
Nov 2026 (midterm): could drop back to ~$72,000
Nov 2028–2029: a 3x move from there would push $BTC above $200,000
The setup is simple: midterm years hurt, but they also mark generational lows. If you're long-term focused, these dips are where fortunes get built — not during the euphoria.