Bitcoin is on track for its first consecutive annual losses, down approximately 16% in 2026 after a 6.34% decline in 2025, unless it recovers above US$87,500 by December 31 of this year.
Since its creation in 2009, every negative year for BTC had been followed immediately by a strong annual rebound. After falling 73.56% in 2018, it rose 92% in 2019; and after plunging 64.27% in 2022, it rebounded more than 155% in 2023. A negative close in 2026 would break that traditional four-year cycle pattern.
Although an 18.5% advance in less than two months falls within BTC's historical volatility range, the asset faces significant technical resistance between US$80,000 and US$85,000 before it can reclaim the US$87,500 mark. $BTC
Since its creation in 2009, every negative year for BTC had been followed immediately by a strong annual rebound. After falling 73.56% in 2018, it rose 92% in 2019; and after plunging 64.27% in 2022, it rebounded more than 155% in 2023. A negative close in 2026 would break that traditional four-year cycle pattern.
Although an 18.5% advance in less than two months falls within BTC's historical volatility range, the asset faces significant technical resistance between US$80,000 and US$85,000 before it can reclaim the US$87,500 mark. $BTC
