Applied Materials delivered a double beat after hours, and the midpoint of next quarter’s guidance also topped Street expectations. But pricing for $SOXL was restrained—it didn’t trigger another wild leg higher.

Official FY26 Q4 results: revenue of $10.41 billion (+53% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $4.16 (+92% YoY), versus Street expectations of about $10.30 billion / $4.06. FY27 Q1 guidance: revenue of $11.1 billion ±$500 million and EPS of $4.35 ±$0.20. Reuters, citing LSEG, put Street revenue expectations at $10.89 billion and EPS expectations at about $4.20–$4.25, so both guidance midpoints were comfortably higher. However, the low end—$10.6 billion / $4.15—was still below some estimates. AMAT shares closed at $380.95 (-3.58%); Binance AMAT perpetuals spiked to 395 and plunged to 370.51 at 05:00 Beijing time, around the earnings release, and are now near 386, about +1.3% from the close. $SOXL is now around 68.68, up about 9.9% over 24 hours (58.42–68.98), with trading volume of about 5.22 billion U. The real surge came last night around 22:00, when it rallied from 58.42. At the earnings release itself, it only jumped from 65.63 to 66.63, then churned between 65.1 and 66.8 before climbing to around 68.8 in the morning. Open interest is about 4.1 million contracts, rebounding from 3.77 million at 22:00 last night; about 62.5% of accounts are long (still around 68% yesterday afternoon), and the funding rate is 0.

Those who waited near 62 yesterday for “a beat would take it to 65–66” got that move, plus another leg up to 68.98. But that drop to 58.42 was driven first by the shock of Jensen Huang’s resignation, not by these earnings. Chasing longs around 68 now is not the same trade as buying below 60 last night.

Over the next 12–48 hours (an inference, not a guarantee): holding 65–66 and breaking above 68.98 would set up a retest of the previous high at 69.79, with 72 next in view. A break below 65 while open interest continues to rise could bring a move back to 61–62 first, then 58.42. The setup would be invalidated if AMAT shares break below their after-hours low at the U.S. open, or if the fallout from Nvidia’s personnel news escalates again—NVDA reports earnings on 11/17. Contract volatility is extremely high; be mindful of the risks. This is not investment advice.

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