Data as of November 12, 2026, 21:59 (UTC+8), sourced from publicly available Binance spot market data.
The U.S. trading session is the period of peak liquidity throughout the day. Pay close attention to buying support after the U.S. stock market opens.
【Key Takeaways】
BTC is trading at $72,499.34, down 1.8% over 24 hours. It is currently below the MA20, MA50, and MA200, with a bearish structure; rebounds toward the moving averages are likely to encounter resistance. The four major cryptocurrencies averaged a 2.9% decline over 24 hours, with 0/4 posting gains and combined trading volume of approximately $1.73 billion. Differences within the sector are greater than the overall directional trend, making coin selection more important than timing.
I. Market Overview
• BTC | $72,499.34 | 24h -1.8% | 7d -4.7% | 30d -12.8% | Volume $1.03 billion
• ETH | $2,012.37 | 24h -2.2% | 7d -10.1% | 30d -19.4% | Volume $470 million
• BNB | $655.92 | 24h -3.8% | 7d -4.9% | 30d -11.6% | Volume $74.92 million
• SOL | $81.44 | 24h -3.7% | 7d -8.8% | 30d -23.8% | Volume $160 million
BTC accounts for 59.5% of the combined trading volume of the four major assets, indicating a clear concentration of capital in the leading asset and pressure on altcoin volatility.
II. BTC (Bitcoin) | Bearish Alignment
Slight decline: currently at $72,499.34, down 1.8% over 24 hours, 4.7% over 7 days, and 12.8% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 72,234.00–74,811.45, with trading volume of approximately $1.03 billion. The current price is near the lower end of the 24-hour range, suggesting short-term weakness; watch for signs of a bottom.
Moving average structure: The current price is below MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20 is 77,392.33, MA50 is 80,967.12, and MA200 is 73,142.06; the 20-day moving average slope is -2.59%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 trending downward. A rebound would first need to recover this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 31.5 (weak), 4-hour RSI is 31.2, and trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.82 times the average for the previous 20 days (a significant contraction). Daily RSI is in the neutral range, with no extreme signal yet. The 4-hour trend remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance above at 81,196.01 (10-day high) and 84,898.00 (30-day high); support below at 72,234.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 3.17%, 20-day closing volatility is 3.32%, distance from the 30-day high is -14.6%, and distance from the 30-day low is +0.4%.
III. ETH (Ethereum) | Bearish Alignment
Consolidating weakly: currently at $2,012.37, down 2.2% over 24 hours, 10.1% over 7 days, and 19.4% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 1,988.05–2,103.78, with trading volume of approximately $470 million. The current price is near the midpoint of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20 is 2,240.36, MA50 is 2,431.09, and MA200 is 2,150.62; the 20-day moving average slope is -3.70%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 trending downward. A rebound would first need to recover this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 27.8 (weak), 4-hour RSI is 28.9, and trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.90 times the average for the previous 20 days (volume is steady). Daily RSI is in oversold territory, creating conditions for a short-term technical rebound, but volume needs to confirm it. The 4-hour trend remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance above at 2,450.00 (10-day high) and 2,530.44 (30-day high); support below at 1,988.05 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 4.85%, 20-day closing volatility is 4.86%, distance from the 30-day high is -20.5%, and distance from the 30-day low is +1.2%.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate 0.02776; underperformed BTC by -7.6% over the past 30 days, continuing to follow its decline.
IV. BNB (Binance Coin) | Bearish Alignment
Sharp decline: currently at $655.92, down 3.8% over 24 hours, 4.9% over 7 days, and 11.6% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 652.00–689.30, with trading volume of approximately $74.92 million. The current price is near the lower end of the 24-hour range, suggesting short-term weakness; watch for signs of a bottom.
Moving average structure: The current price is below MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20 is 706.79, MA50 is 735.33, and MA200 is 658.77; the 20-day moving average slope is -2.07%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 trending downward. A rebound would first need to recover this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 31.8 (weak), 4-hour RSI is 27.0, and trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.64 times the average for the previous 20 days (a significant contraction). Daily RSI is in the neutral range, with no extreme signal yet. The 4-hour trend remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance above at 723.42 (10-day high) and 762.20 (30-day high); support below at 652.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 3.35%, 20-day closing volatility is 3.66%, distance from the 30-day high is -13.9%, and distance from the 30-day low is +0.6%.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate 0.009047; broadly in line with BTC over the past 30 days (+1.4%), with no independent trend for now.
V. SOL (Solana) | Bearish Alignment
Pullback under pressure: currently at $81.44, down 3.7% over 24 hours, 8.8% over 7 days, and 23.8% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 80.58–85.85, with trading volume of approximately $160 million. The current price is near the lower end of the 24-hour range, suggesting short-term weakness; watch for signs of a bottom.
Moving average structure: The current price is below MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20 is 93.08, MA50 is 104.72, and MA200 is 89.00; the 20-day moving average slope is -5.28%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 trending downward. A rebound would first need to recover this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 22.1 (deeply oversold), 4-hour RSI is 29.7, and trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.83 times the average for the previous 20 days (a significant contraction). Daily RSI is in oversold territory, creating conditions for a short-term technical rebound, but volume needs to confirm it. The 4-hour trend remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance above at 98.14 (10-day high) and 109.20 (30-day high); support below at 80.58 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 5.37%, 20-day closing volatility is 7.00%, distance from the 30-day high is -25.4%, and distance from the 30-day low is +1.1%.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate 0.001123; underperformed BTC by -12.5% over the past 30 days, continuing to follow its decline.
VI. Capital Rotation
Measured against BTC, BNB was the strongest relative performer over the past 30 days (+1.4%), while SOL was the weakest (-12.5%). There is currently no clear leader in a catch-up rally; price action is mainly following the broader market.
VII. Today's Outlook and Risks
1. BTC is currently below MA20 (77,392.33). Treat a rebound to this level as facing resistance; avoid taking large positions until the price moves back above it.
2. BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL are in oversold territory. Watch for rebound opportunities after volume contracts and prices stabilize, but be sure to set stop-losses.
3. BNB's trading volume has contracted significantly. The breakout lacks volume support, so be alert to the risk of a false breakout.
4. Macroeconomic data, Fed statements, and ETF fund flows remain the biggest short-term variables. Technical levels can easily become unreliable amid unexpected news, so be sure to manage position sizes.
[Risk Warning] This article is compiled from publicly available Binance spot market data and is intended solely for technical analysis review and information sharing. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile; make independent decisions based on your own risk tolerance, and manage your position sizes and stop-losses.
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