Pony Ma is genuinely feeling a sense of crisis this time.
At Tencent’s 28th-anniversary internal livestream, he proposed a “50% Army + 50% Navy” strategy:
Army: Protect cash cows like WeChat, games, and advertising, and use AI to boost efficiency.
Navy: Venture overseas to explore AI-native products and find the next WeChat.
Is Tencent short on cash? Not at all. Q2 revenue was 204.8 billion yuan, with profits of 75.6 billion yuan. Pony Ma’s real concern is that the company’s existing businesses are so profitable that the organization has grown accustomed to its past formula for success.
WeChat succeeded back then not because a mobile feature was added to QQ, but because an entirely new product was built from the ground up. The challenge is the same today: adding an AI assistant to WeChat is absolutely not the same as creating the WeChat of the AI era.
The Army protects today; the Navy searches for tomorrow.
But the hardest part isn’t whether the Navy can find a new continent. It’s whether, if it does, Tencent will have the courage to let the new business disrupt WeChat.