Why do I always urge beginners to learn about quantitative trading first? Because so many people lose money and, by the end, can't even tell whether they lost to the market or to their own emotions.
Are you like this too? Staying up until three or four in the morning, eyes aching from staring at the screen, afraid of missing a trade. After a few wins, you think you've finally figured it out. Then the market gets extreme, and you keep adding to losing positions, taking on more and more risk. The profits you worked hard to build up during the day vanish in a few minutes that night. You say, “Just one last trade,” but every trade becomes “I'll stop once I break even.”
I've been trading event contracts for over a year, and I've seen this happen far too often. People come in hoping to double their money, then focus on breaking even after losing, and eventually just hope to leave with slightly smaller losses. The most active people in the group gradually fall silent; their avatars never light up again. One group leaves with losses, and a new group comes in dreaming of getting rich—and falls into the same traps all over again.
Trading costs are unavoidable, and frequent trading is already difficult. Yet people still try to tough it out by relying on their emotions. When they win, they wish they'd used a bigger position; when they lose, they can't bear how long it takes to break even. In the end, they're left with no money, no sleep, and a life in disarray.
What I value about quantitative trading is that it helps put predefined rules into practice. No trade unless the conditions are met; no adding to a losing position; no recklessly increasing a winning one. It monitors and executes trades throughout the day according to the preset rules. People can get frustrated and change their minds on the fly; a program follows the rules and can reduce that emotional interference. Of course, if the strategy itself is flawed, automating it will still lead to losses.
Based on my stats for this period, the win rate is around 70%, and this account has had unrealized profits of 110,000 U over the past six-plus months. That's past performance, not a guarantee of future results. What matters more to me is this: after accounting for losing streaks, choppy markets, extreme conditions, and costs, how much can you actually keep over the long term? Showing only the few days you won doesn't prove much. #量化 #事件合约 #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO，本周路演估值几何？
Are you like this too? Staying up until three or four in the morning, eyes aching from staring at the screen, afraid of missing a trade. After a few wins, you think you've finally figured it out. Then the market gets extreme, and you keep adding to losing positions, taking on more and more risk. The profits you worked hard to build up during the day vanish in a few minutes that night. You say, “Just one last trade,” but every trade becomes “I'll stop once I break even.”
I've been trading event contracts for over a year, and I've seen this happen far too often. People come in hoping to double their money, then focus on breaking even after losing, and eventually just hope to leave with slightly smaller losses. The most active people in the group gradually fall silent; their avatars never light up again. One group leaves with losses, and a new group comes in dreaming of getting rich—and falls into the same traps all over again.
Trading costs are unavoidable, and frequent trading is already difficult. Yet people still try to tough it out by relying on their emotions. When they win, they wish they'd used a bigger position; when they lose, they can't bear how long it takes to break even. In the end, they're left with no money, no sleep, and a life in disarray.
What I value about quantitative trading is that it helps put predefined rules into practice. No trade unless the conditions are met; no adding to a losing position; no recklessly increasing a winning one. It monitors and executes trades throughout the day according to the preset rules. People can get frustrated and change their minds on the fly; a program follows the rules and can reduce that emotional interference. Of course, if the strategy itself is flawed, automating it will still lead to losses.
Based on my stats for this period, the win rate is around 70%, and this account has had unrealized profits of 110,000 U over the past six-plus months. That's past performance, not a guarantee of future results. What matters more to me is this: after accounting for losing streaks, choppy markets, extreme conditions, and costs, how much can you actually keep over the long term? Showing only the few days you won doesn't prove much. #量化 #事件合约 #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO，本周路演估值几何？
