$CL 1H closed below 85.11, dipped to 84.54, now at 85.13.

The OPEC production increase is already priced in; don't chase shorts at the 84 level.

Conservative: Short if the rebound fails at 85.88; stop at 86.57, target 84.54.

Aggressive: Short only after a 1H close below 84.54; stop at 85.11, target 83.48.

Invalidation: The setup is invalidated if price recovers to 86.57.

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