Everyone, I’m opening a large short on $MARA .
Take profit: 7.46
Stop loss: 7.7988
👇
You may be wondering the obvious question: why am I shorting at this level?
The latest 15-minute candle closed at 7.69, up 31.01% in seven days.
The 20-day range is 5.71 to 7.76.
The current price is at the 96.6th percentile, right below the upper boundary.
Positioning is piled up at the top of the range—that’s where disagreement is greatest.
Short from the top, and the bottom is where it should return to.
This kind of rally is like an elevator shooting straight up, without stopping at any floors.
Now, the levels. Take profit at 7.46, 2.99% lower.
Stop loss at 7.7988, 1.41% higher.
The take-profit level is 2.99% lower and the stop-loss level is 1.41% higher. Both are within the average daily volatility. These are the boundaries I’ve set, and I won’t widen them for anyone.
Average daily volatility is 8.09%—that’s about as much as it typically moves in a day.
The take-profit target is the smaller of the 12-hour reversal extreme and the average daily volatility.
The stop loss allows a 0.5% buffer beyond the six-hour extreme.
The payoff on this trade depends entirely on the take-profit side.
Risk-reward ratio: 2.11.
Honestly, I checked that number twice myself.
The large position isn’t a gamble; it’s because this stop loss is tight enough.
When liquidity is thin, if you’re in the wrong position, you might not even have time to get out.
$BNB is down 0.718%, and $PLAY is down 16.627%—each has its own rhythm.
I don’t get emotionally attached to assets that shoot straight up like this.
What do you think? Would you dare go against me at the 96.6th percentile?
#MARA #BNB #Cryptocurrency
The above is a record of my personal trading system and observations of data; it does not constitute investment advice.
Take profit: 7.46
Stop loss: 7.7988
👇
You may be wondering the obvious question: why am I shorting at this level?
The latest 15-minute candle closed at 7.69, up 31.01% in seven days.
The 20-day range is 5.71 to 7.76.
The current price is at the 96.6th percentile, right below the upper boundary.
Positioning is piled up at the top of the range—that’s where disagreement is greatest.
Short from the top, and the bottom is where it should return to.
This kind of rally is like an elevator shooting straight up, without stopping at any floors.
Now, the levels. Take profit at 7.46, 2.99% lower.
Stop loss at 7.7988, 1.41% higher.
The take-profit level is 2.99% lower and the stop-loss level is 1.41% higher. Both are within the average daily volatility. These are the boundaries I’ve set, and I won’t widen them for anyone.
Average daily volatility is 8.09%—that’s about as much as it typically moves in a day.
The take-profit target is the smaller of the 12-hour reversal extreme and the average daily volatility.
The stop loss allows a 0.5% buffer beyond the six-hour extreme.
The payoff on this trade depends entirely on the take-profit side.
Risk-reward ratio: 2.11.
Honestly, I checked that number twice myself.
The large position isn’t a gamble; it’s because this stop loss is tight enough.
When liquidity is thin, if you’re in the wrong position, you might not even have time to get out.
$BNB is down 0.718%, and $PLAY is down 16.627%—each has its own rhythm.
I don’t get emotionally attached to assets that shoot straight up like this.
What do you think? Would you dare go against me at the 96.6th percentile?
#MARA #BNB #Cryptocurrency
The above is a record of my personal trading system and observations of data; it does not constitute investment advice.
