I just checked again: $BTC 73876. Around 18:00 it was still hovering near 73750, then it reached 74150, but still couldn’t get past the afternoon high of 74180. Now it’s pulled back again. The 20:00 rally only reached 74092 at its highest—not even close to the afternoon high. If you’re still thinking of adding above 74000, these three attempts have made things clear enough.
The list hasn’t come out yet. The MSCI November review results are expected around 6 a.m. Beijing time tomorrow, not now. If it is removed, passive funds tracking the index could potentially dump up to $2.8 billion in $MSTRB sell orders, effective at the November 30 close. On Binance, it’s at 122.15, down 1.5% over 24 hours—basically unchanged.
As I said, even if it is removed, that doesn’t force Strategy to sell the coins on its balance sheet; the pressure is on the stock. But if you’re treating this as bad news fully priced in and chasing longs, the market isn’t buying it. 74180 in the afternoon, 74150 in the early evening, 74092 just now—three failures to break through. This is a rebound, not a reversal. The higher-than-expected CPI data hasn’t been fully priced in either.
Don’t chase here at 73870. If you’ve already bought the dip, take some profit if it reaches 74150–74180; don’t keep waiting for 75000—it hasn’t come close to that today. You can also try a short around here, but exit if it holds above 74180; don’t stubbornly hold until the list comes out tomorrow morning. If you want to go long, wait for a pullback to 73500–73200, then try a small position near the 200-day moving average at 73170. Put your stop below 72700, and take the loss if it breaks last night’s wick. The list hasn’t come out yet, so keep your position small; spot or low leverage is fine.
$ETH 2053 is still weak, so don’t chase it either.
Tonight and tomorrow morning are about waiting for the results, not buying the dip.
#Strategy或遭MSCI剔除，面临最高28亿美元卖盘
#CPI Above Expectations, US Stocks and BTC Under Renewed Pressure
#比特币连续五周下跌
The list hasn’t come out yet. The MSCI November review results are expected around 6 a.m. Beijing time tomorrow, not now. If it is removed, passive funds tracking the index could potentially dump up to $2.8 billion in $MSTRB sell orders, effective at the November 30 close. On Binance, it’s at 122.15, down 1.5% over 24 hours—basically unchanged.
As I said, even if it is removed, that doesn’t force Strategy to sell the coins on its balance sheet; the pressure is on the stock. But if you’re treating this as bad news fully priced in and chasing longs, the market isn’t buying it. 74180 in the afternoon, 74150 in the early evening, 74092 just now—three failures to break through. This is a rebound, not a reversal. The higher-than-expected CPI data hasn’t been fully priced in either.
Don’t chase here at 73870. If you’ve already bought the dip, take some profit if it reaches 74150–74180; don’t keep waiting for 75000—it hasn’t come close to that today. You can also try a short around here, but exit if it holds above 74180; don’t stubbornly hold until the list comes out tomorrow morning. If you want to go long, wait for a pullback to 73500–73200, then try a small position near the 200-day moving average at 73170. Put your stop below 72700, and take the loss if it breaks last night’s wick. The list hasn’t come out yet, so keep your position small; spot or low leverage is fine.
$ETH 2053 is still weak, so don’t chase it either.
Tonight and tomorrow morning are about waiting for the results, not buying the dip.
#Strategy或遭MSCI剔除，面临最高28亿美元卖盘
#CPI Above Expectations, US Stocks and BTC Under Renewed Pressure
#比特币连续五周下跌