#cpi高于预期，美股与btc再度承压
73,000 got smashed just like that! One CPI slash, and the bulls were left bleeding!
BTC plunged from 75,500 to 72,750. In the past 24 hours, $717 million in positions were liquidated across the market, 86.7% of them longs. The people who were shouting “all the bad news is priced in” yesterday don’t even have accounts left today.
The bulls are still talking tough: Month-over-month CPI came in at 0.4%, just 0.1% above expectations, and core CPI at 0.3%, also just 0.1% higher. You call that bad news? It’s a perfectly timed shakeout! 72,000 is a rock-solid three-month floor; buy the dip and you’ve found a golden pit!
The bears are laughing out loud: You call 0.1% no big deal?
Core CPI has held at 0.3% for three straight months. Housing is up 0.3%, food 0.5%, and medical care and transportation are both rising. Inflation has spread from energy into services. The odds of a December Fed rate hike have hit 100%; a 25-basis-point hike is at 90.9%, and even 50 basis points is on the table. Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast to three rate hikes, with the first cut pushed back to December 2027. And you call that “all the bad news being priced in”?
The worst part is, this slash didn’t just hit crypto.
Nvidia fell more than 9% in two days, wiping out nearly $2 trillion in market value. The Nasdaq dropped 0.74%, and the Dow fell 0.3%. The 10-year Treasury yield has broken above 5% again. If you can sit back and earn 5% interest holding Treasuries, who’s going to gamble on a giant asset with no cash flow that’s also about to have its liquidity drained by rate hikes?
But let me put it bluntly—the real thing to fear isn’t CPI coming in hotter than expected. It’s that the Fed has no way out.
Dallas Fed President Logan says at least two more hikes are needed. Philadelphia Fed President Paulson says inflation has been above target for more than five years. Waller even warned that “raising rates by only 25 basis points would damage credibility.” The market has jumped straight from “Will they hike in December?” to “Will it be 25 or 50 basis points?” This isn’t a one-off data shock; it’s a repricing of an entire tightening cycle.
I’m holding my spot positions. I’m not chasing shorts or buying the dip. If 72,000 breaks, 70,000 is the next psychological level. I’ll wait for the December hike, wait for Treasury yields to drain the blood from risk assets, and then see who’s swimming naked.
Brothers, do you think 72,000 is a rock-solid floor or just halfway down the mountain? If 50 basis points really hits, can 70,000 hold? Let’s duke it out in the comments!
73,000 got smashed just like that! One CPI slash, and the bulls were left bleeding!
BTC plunged from 75,500 to 72,750. In the past 24 hours, $717 million in positions were liquidated across the market, 86.7% of them longs. The people who were shouting “all the bad news is priced in” yesterday don’t even have accounts left today.
The bulls are still talking tough: Month-over-month CPI came in at 0.4%, just 0.1% above expectations, and core CPI at 0.3%, also just 0.1% higher. You call that bad news? It’s a perfectly timed shakeout! 72,000 is a rock-solid three-month floor; buy the dip and you’ve found a golden pit!
The bears are laughing out loud: You call 0.1% no big deal?
Core CPI has held at 0.3% for three straight months. Housing is up 0.3%, food 0.5%, and medical care and transportation are both rising. Inflation has spread from energy into services. The odds of a December Fed rate hike have hit 100%; a 25-basis-point hike is at 90.9%, and even 50 basis points is on the table. Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast to three rate hikes, with the first cut pushed back to December 2027. And you call that “all the bad news being priced in”?
The worst part is, this slash didn’t just hit crypto.
Nvidia fell more than 9% in two days, wiping out nearly $2 trillion in market value. The Nasdaq dropped 0.74%, and the Dow fell 0.3%. The 10-year Treasury yield has broken above 5% again. If you can sit back and earn 5% interest holding Treasuries, who’s going to gamble on a giant asset with no cash flow that’s also about to have its liquidity drained by rate hikes?
But let me put it bluntly—the real thing to fear isn’t CPI coming in hotter than expected. It’s that the Fed has no way out.
Dallas Fed President Logan says at least two more hikes are needed. Philadelphia Fed President Paulson says inflation has been above target for more than five years. Waller even warned that “raising rates by only 25 basis points would damage credibility.” The market has jumped straight from “Will they hike in December?” to “Will it be 25 or 50 basis points?” This isn’t a one-off data shock; it’s a repricing of an entire tightening cycle.
I’m holding my spot positions. I’m not chasing shorts or buying the dip. If 72,000 breaks, 70,000 is the next psychological level. I’ll wait for the December hike, wait for Treasury yields to drain the blood from risk assets, and then see who’s swimming naked.
Brothers, do you think 72,000 is a rock-solid floor or just halfway down the mountain? If 50 basis points really hits, can 70,000 hold? Let’s duke it out in the comments!
