October core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, while BTC weakened over the past 24 hours; this does not mean a December rate hike is a done deal. If this pullback has you worried that the policy path is locked in, the answer is: not yet. Waller said he would consider a larger rate hike if core inflation remained near recent levels; this is a personal, conditional view—not an FOMC decision.

Binance BTCUSDT’s two consecutive full UTC-day windows shifted from −0.22% to −2.05%, indicating increased volatility, but this does not prove CPI was the sole cause. Holding on preserves the chance to benefit from a rebound, while also exposing you to volatility from changing rate expectations; reducing exposure limits that volatility, but also means participating less in a rebound. Future inflation data and the FOMC’s collective decisions will be what changes the outlook.

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Sources: BLS, Federal Reserve, Binance.