$INIT shorts are paying 25% a day and the last funding print landed exactly on the contract floor.

As of 18:05 Kyiv time, Nov 10. The perp is up 88% in 24 hours at 0.2454 USD, after a day from 0.1590 to 0.2880. Funding settles hourly here, and the 16:00 UTC print came in at minus 2.00%, the floor the contract allows. The live rate is minus 1.04% an hour, which is 25% a day out of shorts. Contracts open jumped 78% in 24 hours. Retail sits at 42.1% long, mid range for its own 30 days of 27.3% to 51.4%. Top traders are 50.8% long.

US October CPI came in at 0.4% month over month against 0.3% expected, published Nov 10, and traders moved to price a December Fed hike. $BTC went under 74,000 and printed 72,808 on the Binance perp, down 2.7% on the day. Funding on BTC is 0.018% a day, next to nothing, while 73.5% of retail accounts are long, the 83rd percentile of its 30 day range, against 58.6% a month ago. Cheap funding under a crowded long side is what a hot inflation print finds.

I don't know whether the squeeze on INIT has further to run. Funding at the floor tells you what shorts pay right now, not when they stop.

Before you read today's green numbers as a trend, check what funding you would pay to hold that position for a week.

Which number do you check first, funding or open interest?

Top 5 perps by 24h change, as of 18:05 Kyiv:
INIT +88%. Shorts pay 25.0% a day. Contracts +78%. Bigger side: shorts on retail, longs on top traders. Two sides, does not resolve.
ONE +23%. Shorts pay 0.54% a day. Contracts +0%. Bigger side: shorts on retail, longs on top traders. Two sides, does not resolve.
ARIA +22%. Longs pay 0.45% a day. Contracts +12%. Bigger side: longs. Crowded and paying side: longs.
SOPH +14%. Shorts pay 0.13% a day. Contracts +22%. Bigger side: longs. Real move, no crowding.
BR +13%. Funding flat. Contracts +5%. Bigger side: longs. Empty move, no fuel.

#CPITestsDecemberRateOutlook #Market_Update