97.1% odds of a 25bp cut next month (Dec 9) before today's CPI drop

But here's the thing—

If CPI comes in hot at 3.7% or lower (vs 3.9% expected), the entire rate hike forecast gets thrown out the window

Everyone's gonna have to recalibrate their models real quick

Market's basically holding its breath rn waiting for that number

One data point and the whole narrative flips 📉