During earnings season, look at guidance before profits

There’s no new narrative in US stocks today, just price moves.

To see which sectors are leading and which are falling behind, look at price moves, not stories.

S&P 7,550 (5-day +0.11%, Yahoo)
VIX 19.77 (5-day +19.02%)
Dollar Index 101.50 (5-day -0.05%)

Assessment: The 10-year yield is at 4.86%, down -1.78% over 5 days. Falling rates create a window for risk assets, but what matters is whether it lasts—not a single daily candle.

Flows: BTC 74356 (-0.46%). ETH is weaker than BTC over 24h, down -1.22% versus BTC’s -0.46%; the exchange rate is 0.02826. Funds are rotating into BTC, so I’m sitting out altcoins until they show right-side confirmation.

Next, I’m watching whether the 10-year yield can stabilize. If yields keep rising, I’ll treat rallies in growth stocks and BTC as retracements.

My positioning: I only buy pullbacks; I don’t chase breakouts. I can keep a core position as long as the structure holds, but I’ll only add on a pullback to my target level.

Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USDⓈ-M / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers are not filled in.
Would you add to your position at this funding rate?

#美股 #板块 #BTC

Useful tip: Market cap = price × circulating supply. Treating fully locked tokens as market depth can cost you.
Thought: ETH weaker than BTC means funds are contracting; pause on altcoins until they show right-side confirmation.

Data card (same update as the main post; missing values are marked with dashes):
BTC 74,356 -0.46% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,102 -1.22% ETH/BTC 0.02826
S&P 7,550 +0.11% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,253 +0.35% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 101 -0.05% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.77 +19.02% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0092% Open interest 7.40B (24h +2.94) Long/short 2.8183 Binance USDⓈ-M

For context: People are discussing “bitcoin OR stock market OR US stocks - Google News.” I treat that only as background; my conclusions are still based on the figures in the main post.

These are my personal views; figures are from the sources cited in the main post. Not an instruction to trade.

$BTC $ETH $SOL