$CL 84.37, 1H closed at 84.36, breaking below 84.68 on increased volume; 24h low: 84.13.

Iran denies that talks are taking place, calling it fake news; the blockade remains in place. Yet oil prices have already fallen to the target, with pricing running ahead of the facts.

Conservative: Short if a rebound fails to break above 84.68; stop 85.31; target 83.00

Aggressive: Short after a 1H close below 84.13; stop 84.91; target 82.00

Invalidation: A 1H close back above 86.12 voids the setup; target 87.43

#原油 #WTI