The market’s been chaotic enough lately, and tonight we’re getting only half a CPI report
It’s been one thing after another! #CPI前瞻，12月利率走向迎关键考验
Friday’s nonfarm payrolls came in at 165,000, versus expectations of just 65,000—more than double! The market did an about-face on the spot, switching from betting on no move in December to betting on a rate hike. And tonight’s CPI report was already only half a report to begin with!
Congress hasn’t been sitting idle either. The Democrats just swept both chambers, then turned around and sent letters of inquiry to Apple, Meta, Microsoft, and Nvidia one after another. The threat of tech regulation is still hanging over the market.
Texas piled on, putting a direct halt to approvals for new data centers. Last week, the AI capital-spending story got smashed to pieces: the Nasdaq fell more than 6% in a day, wiping out $3.2 trillion.
The funniest part is Trump. He sold off 99.99% of his Bitcoin, then turned around and came out to back Jensen Huang and push energy-permitting reform. He also said the Iran war was the reason Republicans lost the election. His positions are gone, but his words are still hanging over the market.
And yet tonight’s data is missing a leg. October CPI will include only the month-over-month figure, not the year-over-year rate: the government shutdown last year meant no data was collected, so the year-over-year figure can’t be calculated. Expectations are +0.3% month over month, and +0.2% for core CPI.
So what should we watch for tonight? 👀👉鱼总专属行情分析室
As for the market, 2050 is holding, but the rebound is on low volume. This kind of support won’t last long.
So there are three possible scenarios—let’s keep them in mind. If month-over-month inflation cools, the rebound is a repair, not a reversal. Reduce positions when it reaches resistance.
If month-over-month inflation comes in hotter, 2050 will be tested as support. If it breaks, watch 2000! The data could cause a stir of its own—expect a quick spike to sweep stops first, so don’t chase the initial move!
Intraday watchlist: INIT EDGE SOXL MVLL #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO，本周路演估值几何？
It’s been one thing after another! #CPI前瞻，12月利率走向迎关键考验
Friday’s nonfarm payrolls came in at 165,000, versus expectations of just 65,000—more than double! The market did an about-face on the spot, switching from betting on no move in December to betting on a rate hike. And tonight’s CPI report was already only half a report to begin with!
Congress hasn’t been sitting idle either. The Democrats just swept both chambers, then turned around and sent letters of inquiry to Apple, Meta, Microsoft, and Nvidia one after another. The threat of tech regulation is still hanging over the market.
Texas piled on, putting a direct halt to approvals for new data centers. Last week, the AI capital-spending story got smashed to pieces: the Nasdaq fell more than 6% in a day, wiping out $3.2 trillion.
The funniest part is Trump. He sold off 99.99% of his Bitcoin, then turned around and came out to back Jensen Huang and push energy-permitting reform. He also said the Iran war was the reason Republicans lost the election. His positions are gone, but his words are still hanging over the market.
And yet tonight’s data is missing a leg. October CPI will include only the month-over-month figure, not the year-over-year rate: the government shutdown last year meant no data was collected, so the year-over-year figure can’t be calculated. Expectations are +0.3% month over month, and +0.2% for core CPI.
So what should we watch for tonight? 👀👉鱼总专属行情分析室
As for the market, 2050 is holding, but the rebound is on low volume. This kind of support won’t last long.
So there are three possible scenarios—let’s keep them in mind. If month-over-month inflation cools, the rebound is a repair, not a reversal. Reduce positions when it reaches resistance.
If month-over-month inflation comes in hotter, 2050 will be tested as support. If it breaks, watch 2000! The data could cause a stir of its own—expect a quick spike to sweep stops first, so don’t chase the initial move!
Intraday watchlist: INIT EDGE SOXL MVLL #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO，本周路演估值几何？
