Market Maker’s Perspective: $BTC Daily Review: Checked six posts from yesterday—one upside breakout hit, five downside breakouts hit
📊 09:40 snapshot: Current price 75,049.9, 24h high 75,564 / low 73,711.1, 24h change about +0.15%
After the 75,600–76,000 band was breached on both sides overnight, the 05:00 close was 74,094.1, closing $1,505.9 below 75,600. The low of 73,385 set a new 24h low. The 14:00 close was 74,274.4, below 74,433.4; the 15:00 close was 73,837.1, breaking below 74,094.1 again. After the 05:00 close broke below 75,600, not one daily close climbed back above it. The highest close was 75,492.9 at 23:00, $107.1 short of the line.
OI: 34,719.2 coins, about $2.606 billion, down about 93.4 coins from the morning. Current funding rate: 0.0010%/8h, continuing to cool.
📌 Post-by-post verification (based on 1H closes):
Overnight: Upside breakout failed; downside breakout hit (05:00 broke below 75,600; 75,531.0 was also broken on a closing basis) ❌✅
巡检: Upside breakout failed (08:00 closed at 75,204.7, not back above); downside breakout hit (14:00 broke 74,433.4, 15:00 broke 74,000; 73,385 held) ❌✅
Morning: Upside breakout failed; downside breakout hit (74,094.1 was also broken on a closing basis; 73,385 held) ❌✅
Review: Upside breakout failed (10:00 closed at 75,236.4, not back above); downside breakout hit ❌✅
Midday: Upside breakout failed (13:00 closed at 74,442.1, not back above); downside breakout hit (74,146.3 also broke; 73,500 held) ❌✅
Evening: Upside breakout hit (not above at 21:00/22:00, but closed above at 23:00 at 75,492.9; 75,600 was not reached); downside breakout failed ✅❌
Total: Upside: 1 of 6 scenarios hit / 5 failed; downside: 5 of 6 scenarios hit / 1 failed.
✅ Today’s focus:
10:00 close (the 09:00 candle) sets the direction: above 75,600 means a short squeeze is underway, with 75,900–76,200 next; below 75,000 invalidates the 23:00 move above, with 74,669 / 74,100 next.
The 09:00 candle’s high so far is 75,255.9, still $344.1 short of 75,600. The close is not confirmed, so this does not count as a trigger.
📌 Correction: The 07:49巡检 post headline, “We’ll know tonight at 20:30,” used the old daylight-saving-time convention. Tonight’s U.S. October CPI will actually be released at 21:30 SGT (U.S. daylight saving time ended on 11-02).
Simulated discussion; not investment advice.
#BinanceSquare #BTC #MarketMakerPerspective
📊 09:40 snapshot: Current price 75,049.9, 24h high 75,564 / low 73,711.1, 24h change about +0.15%
After the 75,600–76,000 band was breached on both sides overnight, the 05:00 close was 74,094.1, closing $1,505.9 below 75,600. The low of 73,385 set a new 24h low. The 14:00 close was 74,274.4, below 74,433.4; the 15:00 close was 73,837.1, breaking below 74,094.1 again. After the 05:00 close broke below 75,600, not one daily close climbed back above it. The highest close was 75,492.9 at 23:00, $107.1 short of the line.
OI: 34,719.2 coins, about $2.606 billion, down about 93.4 coins from the morning. Current funding rate: 0.0010%/8h, continuing to cool.
📌 Post-by-post verification (based on 1H closes):
Overnight: Upside breakout failed; downside breakout hit (05:00 broke below 75,600; 75,531.0 was also broken on a closing basis) ❌✅
巡检: Upside breakout failed (08:00 closed at 75,204.7, not back above); downside breakout hit (14:00 broke 74,433.4, 15:00 broke 74,000; 73,385 held) ❌✅
Morning: Upside breakout failed; downside breakout hit (74,094.1 was also broken on a closing basis; 73,385 held) ❌✅
Review: Upside breakout failed (10:00 closed at 75,236.4, not back above); downside breakout hit ❌✅
Midday: Upside breakout failed (13:00 closed at 74,442.1, not back above); downside breakout hit (74,146.3 also broke; 73,500 held) ❌✅
Evening: Upside breakout hit (not above at 21:00/22:00, but closed above at 23:00 at 75,492.9; 75,600 was not reached); downside breakout failed ✅❌
Total: Upside: 1 of 6 scenarios hit / 5 failed; downside: 5 of 6 scenarios hit / 1 failed.
✅ Today’s focus:
10:00 close (the 09:00 candle) sets the direction: above 75,600 means a short squeeze is underway, with 75,900–76,200 next; below 75,000 invalidates the 23:00 move above, with 74,669 / 74,100 next.
The 09:00 candle’s high so far is 75,255.9, still $344.1 short of 75,600. The close is not confirmed, so this does not count as a trigger.
📌 Correction: The 07:49巡检 post headline, “We’ll know tonight at 20:30,” used the old daylight-saving-time convention. Tonight’s U.S. October CPI will actually be released at 21:30 SGT (U.S. daylight saving time ended on 11-02).
Simulated discussion; not investment advice.
#BinanceSquare #BTC #MarketMakerPerspective
