Data as of November 9, 2026, 21:00 (UTC+8). Source: publicly available Binance spot market data.
The U.S. trading session is the window with the highest liquidity of the day. The key is to watch how buying interest holds up after the U.S. stock market opens.
【Key Takeaways】
BTC is trading at $74,930.82, down 1.4% over 24 hours. It is currently below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200, with a bearish structure; rebounds toward the moving averages are likely to face resistance. The four major cryptocurrencies are down an average of 2.9% over 24 hours, with 0/4 gaining and combined trading volume of approximately $2.34 billion. Short-term sentiment is recovering, but the medium-term trend has yet to show a confirmed signal.
I. Market Overview
• BTC｜$74,930.82｜24h -1.4%｜7d -2.5%｜30d -9.7%｜Trading volume: $1.23B
• ETH｜$2,122.44｜24h -5.2%｜7d -5.8%｜30d -15.3%｜Trading volume: $810M
• BNB｜$687.11｜24h -1.7%｜7d -1.7%｜30d -8.4%｜Trading volume: $98.55M
• SOL｜$86.63｜24h -3.3%｜7d -5.8%｜30d -21.3%｜Trading volume: $200M
BTC accounts for 52.5% of the combined trading volume of the four major assets. Capital is relatively evenly distributed, leaving room for rotation.
II. BTC (Bitcoin)｜Bearish Alignment
Slight pullback: currently at $74,930.82, down 1.4% over 24 hours, 2.5% over 7 days, and 9.7% over 30 days. 24-hour range: 73,510.00–76,200.00; trading volume: approximately $1.23B. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200. MA20: 78,690.32; MA50: 81,696.86; MA200: 73,206.97. The 20-day moving average slope is -2.03%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending down; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 36.0 (neutral to weak), and 4-hour RSI is 39.6. Trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.94 times the average for the preceding 20 days (volume is steady). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. The 4-hour trend remains weak, making a rebound look more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance at 81,196.01 (10-day high) and 84,898.00 (30-day high); support at 73,510.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 3.16%; 20-day closing volatility is 3.21%; down 11.7% from the 30-day high and up 1.9% from the 30-day low.
III. ETH (Ethereum)｜Bearish Alignment
Pullback under pressure: currently at $2,122.44, down 5.2% over 24 hours, 5.8% over 7 days, and 15.3% over 30 days. 24-hour range: 2,060.00–2,246.00; trading volume: approximately $810M. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20: 2,296.15; MA50: 2,472.68; MA200: 2,154.96. The 20-day moving average slope is -2.40%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending down; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 32.6 (weak), and 4-hour RSI is 30.7. Trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.87 times the average for the preceding 20 days (volume is steady). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. The 4-hour trend remains weak, making a rebound look more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance at 2,450.00 (10-day high) and 2,579.88 (30-day high); support at 2,060.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 4.61%; 20-day closing volatility is 3.84%; down 17.7% from the 30-day high and up 3.0% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate of 0.02832; underperformed BTC by 6.2% over the past 30 days and is still passively following its decline.
IV. BNB (Binance Coin)｜Bearish Alignment
Weak consolidation: currently at $687.11, down 1.7% over 24 hours, 1.7% over 7 days, and 8.4% over 30 days. 24-hour range: 673.31–700.40; trading volume: approximately $98.55M. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200. MA20: 716.62; MA50: 742.02; MA200: 658.17. The 20-day moving average slope is -1.27%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending down; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 39.1 (neutral to weak), and 4-hour RSI is 43.6. Trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.68 times the average for the preceding 20 days (a clear contraction in volume). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. 4-hour momentum is neutral; the market is waiting to choose a direction.
Key levels: Resistance at 723.42 (10-day high) and 762.20 (30-day high); support at 673.31 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 3.77%; 20-day closing volatility is 3.25%; down 9.9% from the 30-day high and up 2.0% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate of 0.009169; largely moved in line with BTC over the past 30 days (+1.4%), with no independent trend for now.
V. SOL (Solana)｜Bearish Alignment
Sharp drop: currently at $86.63, down 3.3% over 24 hours, 5.8% over 7 days, and 21.3% over 30 days. 24-hour range: 85.02–90.01; trading volume: approximately $200M. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20: 96.35; MA50: 106.81; MA200: 89.06. The 20-day moving average slope is -4.04%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending down; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 27.0 (weak), and 4-hour RSI is 35.1. Trading volume over the past 5 days is approximately 0.76 times the average for the preceding 20 days (a clear contraction in volume). Daily RSI is in oversold territory, creating the potential for a short-term technical rebound, but volume needs to confirm it. The 4-hour trend remains weak, making a rebound look more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance at 98.14 (10-day high) and 113.40 (30-day high); support at 85.02 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is approximately 5.20%; 20-day closing volatility is 6.19%; down 23.6% from the 30-day high and up 1.9% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate of 0.001156; underperformed BTC by 12.9% over the past 30 days and is still passively following its decline.
VI. Capital Rotation
Using BTC as the benchmark, BNB was relatively strongest over the past 30 days (+1.4%), while SOL was relatively weakest (-12.9%). There is currently no clear leader in a catch-up rally; prices are mainly following the broader market.
VII. Today's Outlook and Risks
1. BTC is currently below the MA20 (78,690.32). Treat a rebound to this level as facing resistance; avoid taking large positions until it moves back above it.
2. BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL are in oversold territory. Watch for rebound opportunities after volume contracts and prices stabilize, but be sure to set stop-losses.
3. BNB and SOL have seen a clear contraction in volume. Breakouts lack volume support, so beware of false breakouts.
4. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve statements, and ETF fund flows remain the biggest short-term variables. Technical levels can easily fail in response to unexpected news, so be sure to manage position sizes.
[Risk Warning] This article is based on publicly available Binance spot market data and is intended solely as a technical review and information sharing. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto asset prices are highly volatile. Make independent decisions based on your risk tolerance, and manage your positions and stop-losses carefully.
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