Data as of November 9, 2026, 19:00 (UTC+8). Source: publicly available Binance spot market data.
The European session is about to open. Watch for directional moves driven by shifts in the US dollar and risk appetite.
【Key Takeaway】
BTC is trading at $74,163.76, down 2.3% over 24 hours. It is currently below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200, indicating a bearish structure, with rebounds likely to meet resistance near the moving averages. The four major coins are down an average of 3.5% over 24 hours, with 0/4 up and combined trading volume of approximately $2.21 billion. Differences within the sector outweigh the overall direction, making coin selection more important than market timing.
I. Market Overview
• BTC | $74,163.76 | 24h -2.3% | 7d -3.5% | 30d -10.6% | Trading volume $1.15 billion
• ETH | $2,107.93 | 24h -5.8% | 7d -6.5% | 30d -15.9% | Trading volume $780 million
• BNB | $681.46 | 24h -2.3% | 7d -2.5% | 30d -9.2% | Trading volume $94.19 million
• SOL | $85.93 | 24h -3.7% | 7d -6.6% | 30d -21.9% | Trading volume $190 million
• BTC accounts for 51.8% of the combined trading volume of the four major assets. Capital is relatively evenly distributed, leaving room for rotation.
II. BTC (Bitcoin) | Bearish Alignment
Slight pullback: currently at $74,163.76, down 2.3% over 24 hours, 3.5% over 7 days, and 10.6% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 73,510.00–76,200.00, with trading volume of about $1.15 billion. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200. MA20: 78,651.52; MA50: 81,681.34; MA200: 73,203.09. The 20-day moving average slope is -2.08%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this line.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 34.0 (weak), and 4-hour RSI is 29.5. Trading volume over the past 5 days is about 0.92 times the average for the previous 20 days (volume is flat). The daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signal yet. The 4-hour chart remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Overhead resistance at 81,196.01 (10-day high) and 84,898.00 (30-day high); support below at 73,510.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 3.19%; 20-day closing volatility is 3.29%; down 12.6% from the 30-day high and up 0.9% from the 30-day low.
III. ETH (Ethereum) | Bearish Alignment
Sharp decline: currently at $2,107.93, down 5.8% over 24 hours, 6.5% over 7 days, and 15.9% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 2,060.00–2,246.00, with trading volume of about $780 million. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20: 2,295.42; MA50: 2,472.39; MA200: 2,154.89. The 20-day moving average slope is -2.43%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this line.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 31.9 (weak), and 4-hour RSI is 26.8. Trading volume over the past 5 days is about 0.86 times the average for the previous 20 days (volume is flat). The daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signal yet. The 4-hour chart remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Overhead resistance at 2,450.00 (10-day high) and 2,579.88 (30-day high); support below at 2,060.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 4.65%; 20-day closing volatility is 3.90%; down 18.3% from the 30-day high and up 2.3% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate of 0.02842; underperformed BTC by 5.9% over the past 30 days and is still passively following its decline.
IV. BNB (Binance Coin) | Bearish Alignment
Slight pullback: currently at $681.46, down 2.3% over 24 hours, 2.5% over 7 days, and 9.2% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 673.31–700.40, with trading volume of about $94.19 million. The current price is in the middle of the 24-hour range, with buying and selling pressure temporarily balanced.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200. MA20: 716.34; MA50: 741.90; MA200: 658.14. The 20-day moving average slope is -1.31%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this line.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 37.3 (neutral to weak), and 4-hour RSI is 38.0. Trading volume over the past 5 days is about 0.67 times the average for the previous 20 days (a marked drop in volume). The daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signal yet. The 4-hour chart remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Overhead resistance at 723.42 (10-day high) and 762.20 (30-day high); support below at 673.31 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 3.81%; 20-day closing volatility is 3.31%; down 10.6% from the 30-day high and up 1.2% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate of 0.009189; broadly in line with BTC over the past 30 days (+1.7%), with no independent trend for now.
V. SOL (Solana) | Bearish Alignment
Sharp decline: currently at $85.93, down 3.7% over 24 hours, 6.6% over 7 days, and 21.9% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 85.02–90.01, with trading volume of about $190 million. The current price is near the bottom of the 24-hour range, indicating short-term weakness; watch for signs of a bottom.
Moving average structure: The current price is below the MA20, MA50, and MA200. MA20: 96.31; MA50: 106.79; MA200: 89.05. The 20-day moving average slope is -4.08%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the MA20 trending downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this line.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 26.2 (weak), and 4-hour RSI is 30.6. Trading volume over the past 5 days is about 0.74 times the average for the previous 20 days (a marked drop in volume). The daily RSI is in oversold territory, providing conditions for a short-term technical rebound, but volume support is needed. The 4-hour chart remains weak, and any rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Overhead resistance at 98.14 (10-day high) and 113.40 (30-day high); support below at 85.02 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 5.24%; 20-day closing volatility is 6.25%; down 24.2% from the 30-day high and up 1.1% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate of 0.001159; underperformed BTC by 12.7% over the past 30 days and is still passively following its decline.
VI. Capital Rotation
Measured against BTC, BNB was the strongest performer over the past 30 days (+1.7%), while SOL was the weakest (-12.7%). There is currently no clear leader in a catch-up rally; prices are mainly following the broader market.
VII. Today's Outlook and Risks
1. BTC is currently below the MA20 (78,651.52). Treat a rebound to this level as resistance, and avoid taking large positions until it moves back above it.
2. BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL are in oversold territory. Watch for rebound opportunities after volume contracts and prices stabilize, but be sure to set stop-losses.
3. BNB and SOL have seen a marked decline in trading volume. Breakouts lack volume support, so beware of false breakouts.
4. Macroeconomic data, Fed statements, and ETF fund flows remain the biggest short-term variables. Technical levels can easily fail in response to sudden news, so be sure to manage position sizes.
[Risk Warning] This article is based on publicly available Binance spot market data and is intended solely for technical analysis review and information sharing; it does not constitute investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Make independent decisions based on your risk tolerance, and manage positions and stop-losses carefully.
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