Even the leading coin in the privacy sector can no longer withstand market pressure: ZEC fell from $1,387 to $1,180 in just four trading days, a total decline of 15%. Today, it plunged straight below the $1,200 mark in just one hour.
With the broader market generally trending downward, ZEC's decline has been particularly pronounced. This isn't a small-cap coin collapsing; it's a top-ten cryptocurrency leading the pullback.
Let's look at three key data points: 1. ZEC is currently trading at $1,227.93, down 3.03% over 24 hours, with approximately $780 million in 24-hour trading volume across the market. Although the price is retreating, trading activity remains robust; this isn't an obscure coin with little buying support. 2. Since its November 6 high of $1,387.89, it has fallen 15% in four days, reaching a low of $1,180 today. Within one hour, liquidations of long positions reached $740,000, all of them long positions; no short positions were liquidated. 3. But it's also worth noting how much it had risen beforehand: it's up 154.69% over the past 90 days and 127.58% year to date. Its current market cap is around $19.7 billion, ranking it tenth. As the best-performing privacy coin this year, it is also falling sharply now that its pullback has begun.
Why has it fallen harder than anything else? After nonfarm payrolls came in far above expectations, the probability of a December rate hike rose to 77%. Before Tuesday's CPI data is released, the market is reluctant to take long positions. Highly volatile coins like ZEC, which gained 1.5 times in just 90 days, are among the first assets investors pull out of. In the minutes from September's meeting, most officials had already signaled that another rate hike by year-end was possible, and the nonfarm payrolls data further reinforced this expectation. The privacy coin sector is inherently highly volatile: these coins lead the way during rallies and fall even harder during downturns.
Here's my personal take: This latest decline is mostly due to profit-taking after the earlier sharp rally, compounded by rising rate-hike expectations; it isn't the result of any sudden major negative development specific to the coin. The NU7 network upgrade has just been activated, and the fundamentals haven't changed. However, a shift in the market outlook depends on two conditions: First, if Tuesday's month-over-month CPI figure is above 0.4%, a December rate hike will be all but certain, and high-beta coins will remain under pressure. $BTC