Key points of the article:
• The Iranian front and electoral revenge: Trump is furious about his defeat and disinclined to compromise. To retaliate against Tehran for the Middle East oil crisis that cost Republicans votes, he may defy his vice president, JD Vance, and expand the war with Iran.
• Trade wars and NATO’s collapse: In an attempt to unilaterally cement his “legacy,” the president may carry out his long-standing threats: completely end U.S. participation in Europe’s collective defense, abandon NATO, launch new tariff wars with Canada and the EU, and orchestrate a violent regime change in Cuba.
• A Putin–Trump deal at Ukraine’s expense: The main danger for Kyiv lies in Trump’s weakness. Putin will try to strike a deal while Trump is in power, and the White House will begin cutting Ukraine off from weapons and intelligence, crudely forcing it into territorial capitulation for the sake of a quick “peace” deal.
• White House paralysis due to investigations: Starting in January 2027, a Democratic-controlled Congress will tie up the administration with budget reviews, corruption charges, and the threat of another impeachment. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will be the first victim of the purge. The internal chaos will drive Trump to act even more impulsively on the world stage.
• Age and decline: At 80, Trump is showing signs of fading and is incapable of learning from his mistakes. Two years of presidential caprice, climate denial, and stagnation in nuclear disarmament lie ahead, while Beijing “runs circles around him.”
The wave of right-wing populism, which once seemed unstoppable, is beginning to recede. Following changes in Brazil, Hungary, and Serbia, American voters have shown that the MAGA movement is vulnerable. Elections in Spain and France are coming up in 2027, and the global democratic community has a real chance to finally turn the page on ultranationalism. The era’s main task can be put simply: “out-Trump Trump.”$KITE $BTC