🔴 SHORT $AAVE /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Trader Q&A
Why watch? The closed 4h EMA structure favors SHORT.
What are we waiting for? Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Entry: 128.08 – 128.44
TP1: 126.61 (-1.3% | 0.57R) [1h swing]
TP2: 124.62 (-2.8% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 124.08 (-3.3% | 1.44R) [1h swing]
SL: 131.17 (+2.3%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.39R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
When does it fail? SL is hit, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 09 Nov 01:00 UTC | Expires 09 Nov 01:30 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Trader Q&A
Why watch? The closed 4h EMA structure favors SHORT.
What are we waiting for? Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Entry: 128.08 – 128.44
TP1: 126.61 (-1.3% | 0.57R) [1h swing]
TP2: 124.62 (-2.8% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 124.08 (-3.3% | 1.44R) [1h swing]
SL: 131.17 (+2.3%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.39R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
When does it fail? SL is hit, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 09 Nov 01:00 UTC | Expires 09 Nov 01:30 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
