[BTC DAILY 09/11] Bitcoin ($BTC ) 75,225 USDT | Today: Stay out, wait for confirmation
The two timeframes are "arguing," so today I’m prioritizing staying put and observing.
1. WHAT’S HAPPENING IN THE MARKET
- D1 (daily timeframe): still in an uptrend, but the short-term move is going the other way.
- H4 (4-hour timeframe): currently trending down.
- View: Stay out. The daily and 4-hour timeframes are moving in opposite directions, so wait for price to choose a direction before deciding.
2. WHY AM I BEING CAUTIOUS?
- The recent high (H4) is at 84,875, still quite far from the current price and not yet broken (still +12.8%).
- Price has broken below the recent low (H4) at 79,732.
- Weak momentum: D1 MACD is red, with bars getting deeper; ADX at 20 suggests the trend lacks strength.
3. PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
- Support: 73,333 (20-day low).
- Resistance: 75,851 - 76,169 (supply zone, H4 Order Block).
- Potential buy zone: 73,333, but only if there’s a confirmation signal.
- Potential sell zone: 75,851 - 76,169, also only if there’s a confirmation signal.
4. TWO SCENARIOS FOR TODAY
- If price rises: it needs to hold above 73,333 and break above 76,169 to confirm upward momentum. Next target: 82,595.
- If price falls: if it breaks below 73,333 and fails to reclaim it, the trend could weaken. Next target: 63,595.
5. WHEN WOULD I BE WRONG?
An H4 candle closing above 76,169 or below 73,333 would mean the market has chosen a direction, and it would be time to reassess.
RISKS TO KEEP IN MIND
- The average daily range is around 3.1% (D1 ATR), so price could easily sweep through these levels before choosing a direction.
- An Order Block is just an area to watch; it may not hold price. Macroeconomic news can cause sharp volatility and slippage.
Price at the time of writing: 75,225 USDT (08:00 09/11/2026, UTC+7). The market changes quickly, so remember to set a stop-loss on every trade.
This is my personal view for reference, not investment advice.
📰 Axion News | @axioncryptonews
💬 Which coin are you watching? Leave a comment below. If you found this post useful, please like and share 👍
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate #AxionNews
The two timeframes are "arguing," so today I’m prioritizing staying put and observing.
1. WHAT’S HAPPENING IN THE MARKET
- D1 (daily timeframe): still in an uptrend, but the short-term move is going the other way.
- H4 (4-hour timeframe): currently trending down.
- View: Stay out. The daily and 4-hour timeframes are moving in opposite directions, so wait for price to choose a direction before deciding.
2. WHY AM I BEING CAUTIOUS?
- The recent high (H4) is at 84,875, still quite far from the current price and not yet broken (still +12.8%).
- Price has broken below the recent low (H4) at 79,732.
- Weak momentum: D1 MACD is red, with bars getting deeper; ADX at 20 suggests the trend lacks strength.
3. PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
- Support: 73,333 (20-day low).
- Resistance: 75,851 - 76,169 (supply zone, H4 Order Block).
- Potential buy zone: 73,333, but only if there’s a confirmation signal.
- Potential sell zone: 75,851 - 76,169, also only if there’s a confirmation signal.
4. TWO SCENARIOS FOR TODAY
- If price rises: it needs to hold above 73,333 and break above 76,169 to confirm upward momentum. Next target: 82,595.
- If price falls: if it breaks below 73,333 and fails to reclaim it, the trend could weaken. Next target: 63,595.
5. WHEN WOULD I BE WRONG?
An H4 candle closing above 76,169 or below 73,333 would mean the market has chosen a direction, and it would be time to reassess.
RISKS TO KEEP IN MIND
- The average daily range is around 3.1% (D1 ATR), so price could easily sweep through these levels before choosing a direction.
- An Order Block is just an area to watch; it may not hold price. Macroeconomic news can cause sharp volatility and slippage.
Price at the time of writing: 75,225 USDT (08:00 09/11/2026, UTC+7). The market changes quickly, so remember to set a stop-loss on every trade.
This is my personal view for reference, not investment advice.
📰 Axion News | @axioncryptonews
💬 Which coin are you watching? Leave a comment below. If you found this post useful, please like and share 👍
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate #AxionNews
