#JobsReportRaisesHikeOdds
Meaning: *The Jobs Report has increased the chances of a Fed rate hike.*
This is going viral because of the October Jobs Report released on November 6, 2026.
What did the report say?
There were *2.5x more* jobs than everyone expected:
Expectation Actual
**New Jobs** 65,000 **165,000**
**Unemployment** 4.2% **4.1%**
**Wages (Monthly)** 0.3% **0.4%**
**Revisions for the previous 2 months** - **+84,000 more jobs**
The most hiring was in: *Professional Services (+70,000), Healthcare, Transportation, Manufacturing (+19,000)*
Why did the odds of a hike increase?
The logic is simple:
*Strong Jobs = People have money = More spending = Inflation won't come down = The Fed will have to raise rates*
The Fed's inflation target is *2%*, but it's currently *3.6% - 3.7%*. And wages are rising too.
So the Fed can no longer use the excuse that "we can't raise rates because we need to protect jobs."
How much did the odds increase?
*For the December 8-9 meeting:*
- Before the report: *67%*
- After the report: *77% - 80%*
According to CME FedWatch, there's now a *77%* chance the Fed will raise rates by *25 bps (0.25%)* in December. It also reached 78% on Kalshi.
Remember, the Fed held rates at *3.75% - 4.00%* on October 28, but even then *2 officials voted for a hike*.
Impact on the market?
- *10-Year Treasury Yield:* Up to 4.87% - 4.88%
- *2-Year Yield:* Up to 4.52%
- *Dollar:* Strong
- *Gold:* Down ∼1%, to $4,045
- *Stocks:* Didn't fall much because the market was already expecting a hike
What's next?
Everyone's now watching the *CPI Inflation Report on November 10 (Tuesday)*.
- If the CPI reading is hot too, consider a December hike *a sure thing*.
- If the CPI reading is cool, the odds could fall back to 60%.
*Bottom line:* October's jobs numbers have given the Fed the green light to raise rates. The inflation report will decide what happens next.#BinancePick $BTC
Meaning: *The Jobs Report has increased the chances of a Fed rate hike.*
This is going viral because of the October Jobs Report released on November 6, 2026.
What did the report say?
There were *2.5x more* jobs than everyone expected:
Expectation Actual
**New Jobs** 65,000 **165,000**
**Unemployment** 4.2% **4.1%**
**Wages (Monthly)** 0.3% **0.4%**
**Revisions for the previous 2 months** - **+84,000 more jobs**
The most hiring was in: *Professional Services (+70,000), Healthcare, Transportation, Manufacturing (+19,000)*
Why did the odds of a hike increase?
The logic is simple:
*Strong Jobs = People have money = More spending = Inflation won't come down = The Fed will have to raise rates*
The Fed's inflation target is *2%*, but it's currently *3.6% - 3.7%*. And wages are rising too.
So the Fed can no longer use the excuse that "we can't raise rates because we need to protect jobs."
How much did the odds increase?
*For the December 8-9 meeting:*
- Before the report: *67%*
- After the report: *77% - 80%*
According to CME FedWatch, there's now a *77%* chance the Fed will raise rates by *25 bps (0.25%)* in December. It also reached 78% on Kalshi.
Remember, the Fed held rates at *3.75% - 4.00%* on October 28, but even then *2 officials voted for a hike*.
Impact on the market?
- *10-Year Treasury Yield:* Up to 4.87% - 4.88%
- *2-Year Yield:* Up to 4.52%
- *Dollar:* Strong
- *Gold:* Down ∼1%, to $4,045
- *Stocks:* Didn't fall much because the market was already expecting a hike
What's next?
Everyone's now watching the *CPI Inflation Report on November 10 (Tuesday)*.
- If the CPI reading is hot too, consider a December hike *a sure thing*.
- If the CPI reading is cool, the odds could fall back to 60%.
*Bottom line:* October's jobs numbers have given the Fed the green light to raise rates. The inflation report will decide what happens next.#BinancePick $BTC