Extreme fear at 25/100 and funding at 0.0015%: the market is afraid, but it isn’t leveraged

The Fear and Greed Index fell from 50 (neutral) to 25 (extreme fear) in two days. Sentiment plunged. But the money tells a different story.

The funding rate for Binance perpetual futures at $BTC is 0.0015% every 8 hours: longs are paying almost nothing to hold their positions. And open interest remains at 96,416 BTC, or around US$7.3 billion.

When there’s real capitulation, funding turns negative and open interest plunges. Neither happened today.

One thing to keep in mind: that doesn’t guarantee a rebound. On November 4, shorts were liquidated for US$378 million in one hour, and BTC reached 81,000; the next day, it gave it all back.

A weekend fact: Saturday averages a 0.74% move, compared with 2.05% on Monday. With half the liquidity, any large order exaggerates the move. Don’t confuse noise with a trend.

Real fear, or a pause before 70,000?

#Bitcoin #Cripto #BinanceSquare

This is not financial advice. Do your own research before investing.