📊 JTOUSDT.P 4H — WAITING SHORT (lower-high / broken-floor retest)
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📉 Market: Downtrend. Price 0.3367 | EMA20 0.3451 | EMA50 0.3611 falling | EMA200 0.4269 | ATR14 0.01087
Structure: lower highs 0.3745 → 0.3527 → 0.3488 after the Nov 5 breakdown to 0.3191. Old 0.346–0.349 support floor is now being retested from below (1 post-break retest only).
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🎯 Plan (WAITING — not entered):
• Wait for a rally into 0.3460–0.3488 (broken floor + Nov 7 lower high, EMA20 just below) AFTER this post
• Activation: a closed 4H candle back below 0.3455 (rejection). Zone touch ≠ entry
• Executable fill: next-bar open / first quote after confirmation, minimum short fill 0.3435 (lower = NO TRADE)
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❌ Invalidation / cancel: 4H close above 0.3488 before activation, stop hit, or expiry 11-08 19:00 Riyadh (6 bars). Cancel wins; no revival. A new wick above 0.3488 = stop and R recomputed.
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🛑 SL 0.3521 (swing 0.3488 + 0.3×ATR)
✅ TP1 0.3290 (Nov 4 swing low) ≈ 1.99R net @ 0.3450
✅ TP2 0.3191 (Nov 5 low) ≈ 3.27R net
✅ TP3 0.3052 (Apr 19 daily low) ≈ 5.07R net
Partials 40% / 35% / 25%. 0.3346–0.3358 is the first obstacle; EMAs = moving resistance, not targets.
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⚖️ Risk: size so the planned stop loss ≈ 1% of equity → qty/equity ≈ 1.29 JTO per 1 USDT (notional/equity ≈ 0.45). Formula only, no balance assumed. Gaps can exceed 1%. Costs assumed, unverified: 0.05% fee + 0.05% slippage per side + 0.03% funding reserve; stress 2× costs ≈ 1.77R / 2.96R on TP1 / TP2 (needs fill ≥ 0.3441 under 2× to keep 1.5R).
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🧭 Confidence: medium-low — trend, lower highs and a broken-floor retest favor shorts, and the zone has only 1 resistance retest, but price must rally ~2.8% into the zone first, the fill window above 0.3435 is narrow, and the setup may expire.
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Not financial advice. DYOR. ✅
⠀
🔔 Follow for live levels
⠀
$JTO $BTC
#Binance #Crypto #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare
⠀
📉 Market: Downtrend. Price 0.3367 | EMA20 0.3451 | EMA50 0.3611 falling | EMA200 0.4269 | ATR14 0.01087
Structure: lower highs 0.3745 → 0.3527 → 0.3488 after the Nov 5 breakdown to 0.3191. Old 0.346–0.349 support floor is now being retested from below (1 post-break retest only).
⠀
🎯 Plan (WAITING — not entered):
• Wait for a rally into 0.3460–0.3488 (broken floor + Nov 7 lower high, EMA20 just below) AFTER this post
• Activation: a closed 4H candle back below 0.3455 (rejection). Zone touch ≠ entry
• Executable fill: next-bar open / first quote after confirmation, minimum short fill 0.3435 (lower = NO TRADE)
⠀
❌ Invalidation / cancel: 4H close above 0.3488 before activation, stop hit, or expiry 11-08 19:00 Riyadh (6 bars). Cancel wins; no revival. A new wick above 0.3488 = stop and R recomputed.
⠀
🛑 SL 0.3521 (swing 0.3488 + 0.3×ATR)
✅ TP1 0.3290 (Nov 4 swing low) ≈ 1.99R net @ 0.3450
✅ TP2 0.3191 (Nov 5 low) ≈ 3.27R net
✅ TP3 0.3052 (Apr 19 daily low) ≈ 5.07R net
Partials 40% / 35% / 25%. 0.3346–0.3358 is the first obstacle; EMAs = moving resistance, not targets.
⠀
⚖️ Risk: size so the planned stop loss ≈ 1% of equity → qty/equity ≈ 1.29 JTO per 1 USDT (notional/equity ≈ 0.45). Formula only, no balance assumed. Gaps can exceed 1%. Costs assumed, unverified: 0.05% fee + 0.05% slippage per side + 0.03% funding reserve; stress 2× costs ≈ 1.77R / 2.96R on TP1 / TP2 (needs fill ≥ 0.3441 under 2× to keep 1.5R).
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🧭 Confidence: medium-low — trend, lower highs and a broken-floor retest favor shorts, and the zone has only 1 resistance retest, but price must rally ~2.8% into the zone first, the fill window above 0.3435 is narrow, and the setup may expire.
⠀
Not financial advice. DYOR. ✅
⠀
🔔 Follow for live levels
⠀
$JTO $BTC
#Binance #Crypto #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare
