📅 Next Tuesday, 21:30
U.S. October CPI is coming
This is the last inflation report
before the December rate decision
Forecast:
Month over month: 0.3%
Core: 0.2%
September came in hotter than expected
BTC plunged 1.5% in one minute
This time is different:
The government shutdown last October
means year-over-year data won't be released
We'll only have the month-over-month figure
After the blowout jobs report
the odds of a 25 bp rate hike in December are around 75%
CPI hotter than expected again → a hike becomes more likely
Core at 0.2% or lower → still room for doubt
My advice:
Don't take a big position before the release
Watch the core figure first
At 0.2% versus 0.3%,
the market could move in either direction
Volatility will be high—use stop-losses on futures
Where do you think core CPI
will land: 0.2% or 0.3%?
$BTC #CPI前瞻，12月利率走向迎关键考验
U.S. October CPI is coming
This is the last inflation report
before the December rate decision
Forecast:
Month over month: 0.3%
Core: 0.2%
September came in hotter than expected
BTC plunged 1.5% in one minute
This time is different:
The government shutdown last October
means year-over-year data won't be released
We'll only have the month-over-month figure
After the blowout jobs report
the odds of a 25 bp rate hike in December are around 75%
CPI hotter than expected again → a hike becomes more likely
Core at 0.2% or lower → still room for doubt
My advice:
Don't take a big position before the release
Watch the core figure first
At 0.2% versus 0.3%,
the market could move in either direction
Volatility will be high—use stop-losses on futures
Where do you think core CPI
will land: 0.2% or 0.3%?
$BTC #CPI前瞻，12月利率走向迎关键考验