🚨 THE BIGGEST CRYPTO HACK OF ALL TIME — and the market is silent.
6.3 billion USDT stolen. 4.72 billion net outflow in just a few days (Reuters). 1.58 billion in liquidations. 643 million in ETF outflows in ONE day. And $BTC ? Sitting at 76,004 USDT.
📌 WHY 76,000 IS NOW DETERMINING NOVEMBER’S FATE:
Glassnode shows: STH-MVRV ~1.02 — short-term holders have their cost basis at EXACTLY this level, on average. If the zone holds -> Recent Buyers stay profitable. If it breaks -> capitulation like in January and May.
1️⃣ Base case (~50%): Sideways between 72,477–79,532 (5D 1σ band), RSI 35.7 — slightly oversold, buying is possible.
2️⃣ Bull case (~25%): Reclaiming the MA10 at 77,367 -> target 79,500/81,000. The stolen coins (18,270 BTC!) remain quiet.
3️⃣ Bear case (~25%): Daily close below 74,811 -> MA200 at 73,207, then 70,000 is in play. A similar Supertrend flip to May = 25% downside.
⚠️ The real risk layer: As long as the hacker’s 18,270 BTC remain in 19 addresses, any move toward an exchange represents a supply of ~1.4 billion USDT.
What’s your position: Long, short, or sitting out? And where will the stolen coins go first — an exchange or the darknet? Let us know in the comments 👇 I’ll share the deep on-chain analysis (outflow timing + funding) in the first comment.
$BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #CryptoAnalysis
6.3 billion USDT stolen. 4.72 billion net outflow in just a few days (Reuters). 1.58 billion in liquidations. 643 million in ETF outflows in ONE day. And $BTC ? Sitting at 76,004 USDT.
📌 WHY 76,000 IS NOW DETERMINING NOVEMBER’S FATE:
Glassnode shows: STH-MVRV ~1.02 — short-term holders have their cost basis at EXACTLY this level, on average. If the zone holds -> Recent Buyers stay profitable. If it breaks -> capitulation like in January and May.
1️⃣ Base case (~50%): Sideways between 72,477–79,532 (5D 1σ band), RSI 35.7 — slightly oversold, buying is possible.
2️⃣ Bull case (~25%): Reclaiming the MA10 at 77,367 -> target 79,500/81,000. The stolen coins (18,270 BTC!) remain quiet.
3️⃣ Bear case (~25%): Daily close below 74,811 -> MA200 at 73,207, then 70,000 is in play. A similar Supertrend flip to May = 25% downside.
⚠️ The real risk layer: As long as the hacker’s 18,270 BTC remain in 19 addresses, any move toward an exchange represents a supply of ~1.4 billion USDT.
What’s your position: Long, short, or sitting out? And where will the stolen coins go first — an exchange or the darknet? Let us know in the comments 👇 I’ll share the deep on-chain analysis (outflow timing + funding) in the first comment.
$BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #CryptoAnalysis
