◆ Morning Note｜11-07
As of 09:30.
Reconciliation: 2 setups last night; neither was filled.
Live US short-term trading: +4.25U closed over the past 24 hours (1 win, 0 losses); +1.58U cumulative since 2026-09-29, with a maximum drawdown of 11.73U; 1 open position, unrealized -4.56U.
Conclusion: Consolidation remains unchanged; stay defensive today. The S&P 500 closed at 7,376.9, up 0.31%, but is down 5.45% over the past month. The Nasdaq is up 1.09%, but down 10.75% over the past month. The VIX is 25.6, up 70.82% over the past month; the rebound does not signal a turn. The 10-Year yield at 4.859% and DXY at 102.3 raise the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets. BTC at $76,016, up 0.23% over 24 hours, signals a wait-and-see stance. ARKK cutting AVGO by 97% and adding NVDA by 29% reflects rebalancing within semiconductors; where the rationale is unclear, no cause is inferred.
PnL as of 09:30 UTC+8. Recap: 2 setups, none filled. Live US book: 24h closed +4.25U (1W/0L); +1.58U since 09-29, max DD 11.73U; 1 open (-4.56U).
Conclusion: consolidation persists, stay defensive today. S&P 500 closed 7,376.9, +0.31% but -5.45% over one month; Nasdaq +1.09% but -10.75% over one month; VIX 25.6, +70.82% over one month, so the rebound is not a turn. 10-Year at 4.859% and DXY 102.3 raise the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets; BTC at 76,016, +0.23% in 24h, is waiting, not turning. ARKK cutting AVGO -97% and adding NVDA +29% looks like semiconductor rebalancing; where the material is unclear, cause unknown.
As of 09:30.
Reconciliation: 2 setups last night; neither was filled.
Live US short-term trading: +4.25U closed over the past 24 hours (1 win, 0 losses); +1.58U cumulative since 2026-09-29, with a maximum drawdown of 11.73U; 1 open position, unrealized -4.56U.
Conclusion: Consolidation remains unchanged; stay defensive today. The S&P 500 closed at 7,376.9, up 0.31%, but is down 5.45% over the past month. The Nasdaq is up 1.09%, but down 10.75% over the past month. The VIX is 25.6, up 70.82% over the past month; the rebound does not signal a turn. The 10-Year yield at 4.859% and DXY at 102.3 raise the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets. BTC at $76,016, up 0.23% over 24 hours, signals a wait-and-see stance. ARKK cutting AVGO by 97% and adding NVDA by 29% reflects rebalancing within semiconductors; where the rationale is unclear, no cause is inferred.
PnL as of 09:30 UTC+8. Recap: 2 setups, none filled. Live US book: 24h closed +4.25U (1W/0L); +1.58U since 09-29, max DD 11.73U; 1 open (-4.56U).
Conclusion: consolidation persists, stay defensive today. S&P 500 closed 7,376.9, +0.31% but -5.45% over one month; Nasdaq +1.09% but -10.75% over one month; VIX 25.6, +70.82% over one month, so the rebound is not a turn. 10-Year at 4.859% and DXY 102.3 raise the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets; BTC at 76,016, +0.23% in 24h, is waiting, not turning. ARKK cutting AVGO -97% and adding NVDA +29% looks like semiconductor rebalancing; where the material is unclear, cause unknown.
