#美国中期选举落幕,美伊局势或迎新变数 🚨 The U.S. midterm elections are over, and U.S.-Iran relations have reached another critical juncture!
In this midterm election, the Democrats won control of both the House and the Senate, while the Republicans suffered a major setback.
One detail is worth noting: Trump himself admitted that the war with Iran affected the election results.
Over the past few months, the war has driven up energy prices, and the pressure on ordinary American consumers has become increasingly apparent.
Now that the election is over, Washington's political landscape has changed, but the situation in the Middle East has not truly stabilized.
Two very different scenarios could unfold next.
If U.S.-Iran negotiations make progress, the risk premium on crude oil could continue to decline, and inflationary pressures may ease.
But if both sides resume escalating military action, oil prices could rebound at any time, and global risk assets would face another shock.
For now, I'm more focused on oil prices than on rushing to predict whether BTC will rise or fall based on the election results.
A decrease in the risk of war doesn't mean money will flow into crypto markets immediately, but a sustained decline in energy prices could at least create more favorable conditions for future monetary policy.
For now, I still prefer to watch cautiously and avoid chasing short-term market sentiment.