📊 Tonight’s review | BTC $75,906, mixed signals; noting LIT’s pullback level

First, let’s review yesterday’s calls—and own the misses:
❌ BTC won’t break below the $76,061 support on a retest within 24 hours; holding above it would confirm bullish momentum -> Low: $75,736, broke below support ❌
✅ BTC will continue ranging between $74,330 ~ $82,434 over the next 24 hours; wait for a breakout either way before looking for a new direction -> High/low: $78,210~$81,196, within the range ✅
✅ BTC will pull back after first touching the $82,559 resistance; if it holds above $+0.5% right away, my call is wrong -> High: $79,727, never reached resistance ✅ (range-bound view was right)

📊 Today in a nutshell
BTC $75,906 (-4.7%) | SPX -4.4% | QQQ -6.5%
-> Risk aversion is rising; risk score 4.0/10

⛓️ Derivatives snapshot
Funding rate +0.0073%｜Neutral
OI 24h -5.4%｜New positions are piling into shorts
Retail long/short ratio 3.10｜Whale positions 2.12
Aggressive buy volume share 49%

📌 Key changes today
10Y yield 4.90% (-1.0%) ✅Yields are easing
BTC -4.7% 📉Pullback

🔍 My take
The 4.90% yield is weighing on tech stocks; QQQ’s rebound depends on how yields move.

🔮 Plan for tomorrow | 40–60% allocation
• No adding or trimming; wait for a signal
• Only take high-conviction trades, with small positions

🎯 Altcoin radar (180-day support model)
1️⃣ LIT $3.41 24h -0.7%｜Support $3.38, currently retesting key support
If the retest holds, target $3.72 (support +10%); exit with a stop-loss if it breaks $3.25
2️⃣ XAUT $4,051 24h -0.6%｜Support $3,957, not far from support
If the retest holds, target $4,187 (20-day high); exit with a stop-loss if it breaks $3,798
⚠️ Keep altcoin positions at ≤20% during sideways markets, and always use a stop-loss on each trade

Review done—share how you traded today in the comments

As always: this is not investment advice; manage your own position size

#BTC #LIT #SOXLB #XRP #MarketMoves