XRP is trading at about $1.20–1.22, down about 7.3–7.7% in 24h. The daily range was about $1.20–1.33. It fell with the broader selloff, even as whales pulled a large amount of XRP off Binance. Key question: will the long-term $1.20–1.25 support band hold?
Technicals
Moving averages: price is below the 20-day ($1.29), 50-day ($1.39) and 200-day SMA ($1.27), and below the key EMAs. I found no figure for the 100-day.
RSI(14): about 35, down from 50 a day earlier.
Resistance: $1.25–1.28 (breakdown zone, 200-day) · $1.32–1.36 (Nov 5 high area) · $1.40 · $1.60 (inverse head-and-shoulders neckline)
Support: $1.20 · $1.15 · $1.10
Fundamentals and on-chain
XRP ETFs:
Nov 2 brought −$0.53M and Nov 3 was flat. I found no data for Nov 4–5.
October’s net inflow of $18.8M was the weakest month since January.
Cumulative net inflows: $1.81B.
Escrow: 1B XRP was released on Nov 1 and 700M was re-locked, so a net 300M stayed out. About 31.1B XRP remains in escrow.
RLUSD: about $1.63B supply on DefiLlama (some press cites over $2.5B). It is growing on XRPL (+13.5% over 30 days) and shrinking on Ethereum.
Whales:
2,147 wallets now hold 1M+ XRP, a 2026 high (Santiment).
418.5M XRP (~$540M) left Binance on Nov 5, the biggest daily outflow since February.
The Coinbase Premium is at an eight-month low (−0.16%).
Derivatives: $12.7–18.0M of liquidations, almost all longs. Open interest is $2.76B and the long/short ratio is 0.87.
Top news
XRP fell about 8% to $1.20 in the cross-asset selloff.
A record Binance outflow pushed CryptoQuant’s scarcity index to its highest since 2022.
GateHub and Dinaro launched EURGH, a MiCA-compliant euro stablecoin, on XRPL.
13F filings show only small institutional holdings of XRP ETFs.
Forecasts
🟢 Bullish, $1.30–1.40: XRP holds $1.20 and reclaims $1.30, which Santiment sees as the trigger for $1.40.
⚪ Base, $1.20–1.30: a choppy range between support and the 200-day MA.
🔴 Bearish, $1.10–1.15: a daily close below $1.20 opens $1.15, then $1.10.
Analyst views
Santiment: holding $1.20–1.25 keeps the setup positive, while losing $1.20 risks deeper losses.
24/7 Wall St: expects XRP to end November at $1.20–1.32.
Ali Martinez: a break of the $1.60 neckline would target $2.10.
Upcoming events
Fri Nov 6, 15:30: US October jobs report.
Tue Nov 10, 15:30: US October CPI.
Fri Nov 13, 15:30: US October PPI.
Dec 1: next monthly 1B XRP escrow release.