⏳ AT 8:30, THE REPORT THAT COULD TRIGGER BITCOIN’S FOURTH DROP COMES OUT. And almost nobody is watching what’s building underneath 👇
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In one week, $BTC took three hits: the Binance hack, the election result, and panic over the AI bubble. Each bounce was lower than the last: $85K, $82K, $81K. Today it’s at ~$76K, barely holding on.
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🔴 What happened in 24h
$1,200M was liquidated, and almost 90% of it was long positions (CoinMarketCap). Those betting that the rebound would continue paid the price. And ETFs keep selling: −$512M.
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⚠️ What almost nobody is watching
Open interest in derivatives rose 10% while the price fell. Translation: new leverage is building right before the report. When that happens, the next move is usually violent, in either direction.
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📊 Why employment matters
A strong report = the Fed has an excuse to raise rates in December = pressure on $BTC .
A weak report = less rate pressure = possible relief. But if it’s too weak, recession fears return.
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📍 My levels
🔹 $75,300: yesterday’s low. Losing it opens the way to $73K–$74K.
🔹 $78K: the first level it needs to reclaim before we can talk about relief.
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I don’t trade the report. My buy orders are already set at certain levels, with no leverage. Today, the winner is the one with a plan, not the one who guesses.
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What will the report show?
🟢 Weak: relief for $BTC
🔴 Strong: fourth drop
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I hold $BTC . This is not financial advice.
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#bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #NFP