So here's the vibe: back-to-back red October + November for the $SPX? Almost never happens.
Last time it did? 2008. Yeah, that 2008. -9% then -16%. Absolute bloodbath.
This year? -0.9% and -1.3%. Barely a scratch compared to the GFC.
But still... the pattern showing up at all is kinda sus. Market's been acting weird, and when you see the same setup as '08 (even if way milder), you gotta at least acknowledge it.
Not saying we're heading for another crash, but ignoring historical parallels because "this time is different" is how people get wrecked.
Keep an eye on volume, liquidity, and whether December actually shows up to save the year or if we just bleed slowly into 2025.
Last time it did? 2008. Yeah, that 2008. -9% then -16%. Absolute bloodbath.
This year? -0.9% and -1.3%. Barely a scratch compared to the GFC.
But still... the pattern showing up at all is kinda sus. Market's been acting weird, and when you see the same setup as '08 (even if way milder), you gotta at least acknowledge it.
Not saying we're heading for another crash, but ignoring historical parallels because "this time is different" is how people get wrecked.
Keep an eye on volume, liquidity, and whether December actually shows up to save the year or if we just bleed slowly into 2025.
