Tomorrow night at 21:30: nonfarm payrolls are expected to add just 65,000 jobs—last month it was only 29,000, and July was even revised down to a negative number.

How can such a “pathetic” figure decide whether $BTC surges to 82,000 or crashes back to 76,000?

Because the market is now pricing in roughly an 80% chance of a Fed rate hike in December: a strong report makes a hike all but certain, and crypto takes the first hit; a weak report sets off recession alarms, and prices still fall first.

Which side are you on? A: Payrolls beat expectations, $BTC drops first and then rallies, heading for 82,000; B: Payrolls come in shockingly weak, and panic sends it crashing below 80,000.

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