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The U.S. ADP employment data is out, and the results beat market expectations!
The private sector added 86,000 jobs in October, with transportation and healthcare leading the hiring push—signs that the U.S. labor market may be showing signs of recovery.
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Now the whole market is watching Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report.
If the report continues to show stronger-than-expected data, that would mean the labor market remains resilient, making it harder for inflation to come down. The Fed’s monetary policy expectations may well need to be revised.
Markets are currently pricing in two more rate hikes. If nonfarm payrolls come in unexpectedly strong, hawkish expectations could rise, and volatility in the dollar and Treasury yields could directly affect the performance of risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Next, keep an eye on the three key indicators in the report: payroll growth, the unemployment rate, and wage growth.