Oil prices crashed nearly 9% overnight, with Brent closing at $94.62, a two-month low. The market has already bought “peace” in full, in advance.
But Washington itself hasn’t even reached an agreement. Trump is still talking tough: “If it happens again, I’d strike again.” Some officials are urging him to launch a new round of strikes against Iran. Iran has just shot down another US drone, and the state of emergency in Iran has been extended through November 2027. Meanwhile, Schumer has pledged to push for an end to the war, while Vance blamed the election loss on the Iran battlefield.
One side is calling for a halt while the other is calling for strikes, but the market is only hearing half the story. Friday’s US-Iran talks will be the moment of truth—if they collapse, the war premium could snap back overnight. This market can change its tune faster than you can turn a page.
The same goes for these risk assets: $BTC $ETH . De-escalation doesn’t mean a reversal. Keep your hands off the controls until Friday; managing your position size is far more reliable than guessing the direction.
NFA DYOR
#原油 #中东局势 #中期选举 #比特币 #Cryptocurrency
But Washington itself hasn’t even reached an agreement. Trump is still talking tough: “If it happens again, I’d strike again.” Some officials are urging him to launch a new round of strikes against Iran. Iran has just shot down another US drone, and the state of emergency in Iran has been extended through November 2027. Meanwhile, Schumer has pledged to push for an end to the war, while Vance blamed the election loss on the Iran battlefield.
One side is calling for a halt while the other is calling for strikes, but the market is only hearing half the story. Friday’s US-Iran talks will be the moment of truth—if they collapse, the war premium could snap back overnight. This market can change its tune faster than you can turn a page.
The same goes for these risk assets: $BTC $ETH . De-escalation doesn’t mean a reversal. Keep your hands off the controls until Friday; managing your position size is far more reliable than guessing the direction.
NFA DYOR
#原油 #中东局势 #中期选举 #比特币 #Cryptocurrency