🔴 SHORT $SPCX /USDT · TRADFI FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Underlying session: open; Binance contract trades 24/7.
Trader Q&A
Why watch? The closed 4h EMA structure favors SHORT.
What are we waiting for? Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Entry: 135.17 – 135.72
TP1: 133.78 (-1.2% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 132.68 (-2.0% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 132.06 (-2.5% | 1.53R) [1h swing]
SL: 137.65 (+1.6%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.45R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
When does it fail? SL is hit, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 04 Nov 18:27 UTC | Expires 04 Nov 18:57 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Underlying session: open; Binance contract trades 24/7.
Trader Q&A
Why watch? The closed 4h EMA structure favors SHORT.
What are we waiting for? Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Entry: 135.17 – 135.72
TP1: 133.78 (-1.2% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 132.68 (-2.0% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 132.06 (-2.5% | 1.53R) [1h swing]
SL: 137.65 (+1.6%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.45R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
When does it fail? SL is hit, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 04 Nov 18:27 UTC | Expires 04 Nov 18:57 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
