🗳️ THE U.S. CONGRESS CHANGED HANDS. WHAT HAPPENS TO CRYPTO NOW? 👇
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Last night, $BTC fell to $75,750 (a 6-week low), and this morning it's already above $78,000. The price recovered, but the Fear and Greed Index is still at 37: fear. The question now is what comes next.
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📅 The calendar almost no one is watching
• November and December: The current Congress remains in session until January. This is the last window for the Clarity Act with the current majority, although it already failed in a key Senate vote in September (CoinDesk).
• January: The new Congress takes office. Crypto laws will need agreement between both parties.
• January 18: The GENIUS stablecoin law takes effect. It's already passed and doesn't depend on anyone.
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🔹 3 scenarios for $BTC
• Base case: A range between $76K and $79K while the market digests the news. ETF outflows (−$1,160M in 2 days) are weighing on the market, but buyers like Strategy (+811 BTC) are showing up during dips.
• Bullish: If ETF inflows return, $BTC breaks $79K and targets $82,600, the key resistance level.
• Bearish: If it loses $76K on a daily close, last night's low ($75,750) is no longer a floor.
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⚠️ What could change the script
• The Fed's December decision: A rate hike would matter more than any election.
• This week's ETF flows.
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✅ What I'm doing
Elections change the pace of laws, not the direction of adoption. I'm continuing to accumulate through DCA, with no leverage and with defined levels.
⠀
Which scenario do you see?
🟢 Breaks $79K
🔴 Loses $76K
⠀
I own $BTC. This is not financial advice.
⠀
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC☀ #bitcoin #USGovernment
⠀
Last night, $BTC fell to $75,750 (a 6-week low), and this morning it's already above $78,000. The price recovered, but the Fear and Greed Index is still at 37: fear. The question now is what comes next.
⠀
📅 The calendar almost no one is watching
• November and December: The current Congress remains in session until January. This is the last window for the Clarity Act with the current majority, although it already failed in a key Senate vote in September (CoinDesk).
• January: The new Congress takes office. Crypto laws will need agreement between both parties.
• January 18: The GENIUS stablecoin law takes effect. It's already passed and doesn't depend on anyone.
⠀
🔹 3 scenarios for $BTC
• Base case: A range between $76K and $79K while the market digests the news. ETF outflows (−$1,160M in 2 days) are weighing on the market, but buyers like Strategy (+811 BTC) are showing up during dips.
• Bullish: If ETF inflows return, $BTC breaks $79K and targets $82,600, the key resistance level.
• Bearish: If it loses $76K on a daily close, last night's low ($75,750) is no longer a floor.
⠀
⚠️ What could change the script
• The Fed's December decision: A rate hike would matter more than any election.
• This week's ETF flows.
⠀
✅ What I'm doing
Elections change the pace of laws, not the direction of adoption. I'm continuing to accumulate through DCA, with no leverage and with defined levels.
⠀
Which scenario do you see?
🟢 Breaks $79K
🔴 Loses $76K
⠀
I own $BTC. This is not financial advice.
⠀
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC☀ #bitcoin #USGovernment
