$Niu Lai surged within hours after breaking down, but this rebound still cannot be directly defined as a bullish reversal.
As of 13:56, the price first fell to 0.05751, triggering the morning's invalidation condition at 0.05860, then recovered to 0.06466 intraday. Open interest over the past 3 hours actually declined by 3.29%, while the account long/short ratio remained around 1.50. The facts show that the price rebound coincided with position closures; the market inference leans more toward short covering and a liquidity-driven bounce after liquidations than confirmation of new longs.
There was no formal entry plan beforehand, so no entry was made. The current 1-hour candle has not yet closed. Only a full 1-hour close holding above 0.06460 would count as a continuation of the recovery, with 0.06690 as the next level to watch. A fall back below 0.06280 would weaken the rebound, while a break below 0.06180 would signal renewed weakness.
Information on position concentration and complete unlock details is still insufficient. Both the sharp drop and rapid rebound indicate very high volatility risk.
#牛来 #行情复盘 #Risk Management
As of 13:56, the price first fell to 0.05751, triggering the morning's invalidation condition at 0.05860, then recovered to 0.06466 intraday. Open interest over the past 3 hours actually declined by 3.29%, while the account long/short ratio remained around 1.50. The facts show that the price rebound coincided with position closures; the market inference leans more toward short covering and a liquidity-driven bounce after liquidations than confirmation of new longs.
There was no formal entry plan beforehand, so no entry was made. The current 1-hour candle has not yet closed. Only a full 1-hour close holding above 0.06460 would count as a continuation of the recovery, with 0.06690 as the next level to watch. A fall back below 0.06280 would weaken the rebound, while a break below 0.06180 would signal renewed weakness.
Information on position concentration and complete unlock details is still insufficient. Both the sharp drop and rapid rebound indicate very high volatility risk.
#牛来 #行情复盘 #Risk Management