$Bull Run What deserves more caution is not oversold conditions, but the rising account long/short ratio while the perpetual price remains below spot: more accounts are bullish, but that has not translated into stronger pricing.
As of 11:03, spot was around 0.06011 and the perpetual price around 0.05989, a discount of about 0.37%; open interest fell 1.51% over 24 hours, while the account long/short ratio rose to 1.51. The verifiable facts are that leverage continues to exit and prices remain weak; the market inference is that some accounts are buying the dip, but short-side or hedging pressure may still prevail. Oversold conditions cannot yet be treated as a bottom.
Yesterday’s 0.06000 target was hit, while 0.05860 was not. There was no formal entry plan beforehand, so no entry was made. A full 1-hour candle reclaiming the 1-hour EMA20 near 0.06161 would indicate easing weakness; holding above 0.06285 would signal structural repair. A break below 0.05860 would mean weakness continues.
Data on position concentration and complete unlock schedules remains insufficient; a meme coin’s low price does not mean low risk.
#牛来 #行情分析 #Risk Management
As of 11:03, spot was around 0.06011 and the perpetual price around 0.05989, a discount of about 0.37%; open interest fell 1.51% over 24 hours, while the account long/short ratio rose to 1.51. The verifiable facts are that leverage continues to exit and prices remain weak; the market inference is that some accounts are buying the dip, but short-side or hedging pressure may still prevail. Oversold conditions cannot yet be treated as a bottom.
Yesterday’s 0.06000 target was hit, while 0.05860 was not. There was no formal entry plan beforehand, so no entry was made. A full 1-hour candle reclaiming the 1-hour EMA20 near 0.06161 would indicate easing weakness; holding above 0.06285 would signal structural repair. A break below 0.05860 would mean weakness continues.
Data on position concentration and complete unlock schedules remains insufficient; a meme coin’s low price does not mean low risk.
#牛来 #行情分析 #Risk Management