Interesting multi-year setup forming here. The thesis: 2022 was the markdown, 2023-2025 is the rounding bottom consolidation phase, 2026 builds the handle, and 2027 could be the breakout year for risk-on.
This is a classic cup-and-handle pattern stretched across five years. If this plays out, $ARKK and similar high-beta innovation plays could see a major re-rating in 2027.
The patience required here is real—consolidation phases always take longer than expected. But if the macro backdrop cooperates (rate cuts, liquidity expansion, AI infrastructure spend accelerating), this could be a strong asymmetric setup for anyone willing to hold through the noise.
Key watch: Does $ARKK hold this base through 2025-2026? If it does, the risk/reward into 2027 gets very interesting.
This is a classic cup-and-handle pattern stretched across five years. If this plays out, $ARKK and similar high-beta innovation plays could see a major re-rating in 2027.
The patience required here is real—consolidation phases always take longer than expected. But if the macro backdrop cooperates (rate cuts, liquidity expansion, AI infrastructure spend accelerating), this could be a strong asymmetric setup for anyone willing to hold through the noise.
Key watch: Does $ARKK hold this base through 2025-2026? If it does, the risk/reward into 2027 gets very interesting.
