Election Day price structure: BTC keeps oscillating around the 76k line, with volume expanding rather than positions piling up
Data snapshot: 2026-11-03 12:11–12:12 UTC (Binance public interface serverTime 1793707939488, local 21:12 KST)
I. Price and daily candlesticks
24-hour rolling window (12:11 UTC): BTC 77,099.99, -1.18%, range 76,388.88–78,254.17; ETH 2,267.42 (-1.14%), SOL 92.54 (-2.04%), BNB 697.57 (-1.22%), DOGE 0.07451 (-1.48%), XRP 1.2596 (+0.46%); among the six symbols, only XRP closed higher.
For the day (11/03 UTC), the daily candle has not closed: BTC open 76,816.01, high 77,314.01, low 76,388.88, latest 77,084.01; ETH open 2,253.30, high 2,275.00, low 2,241.15, latest 2,266.80.
II. Derivatives structure
Funding rates (12:11 UTC, next settlement 16:00 UTC): BTC 0.0100%, SOL 0.0100%, XRP 0.0100%, ETH 0.0082%, DOGE 0.0074%, BNB 0.0000%, all positive.
Open interest (Binance futures, intraday snapshot on 11/03): BTC 99,017.52 contracts, about $7.604 billion, vs 11/02: contracts +3.95%, notional +1.93%; ETH 2,334,391.68 contracts, about $5.259 billion, vs 11/02: contracts -1.08%, notional -2.01%; SOL 9,447,302.44 contracts, about $869 million, vs 11/02: contracts +3.71%, notional +0.91%.
III. What can and cannot be inferred
Positive funding paired with a slight rise in BTC/SOL open interest only shows that no large-scale deleveraging liquidation has appeared in the pullback; it does not reveal who is building positions or why. CoinDesk’s 11/03 cited market-wide data showed 24-hour trading volume +51% to $168.1 billion, open interest -1.63% to $134.9 billion, liquidations +171% to $382.6 million, and taker flow 51.12% skewed to sellers, which was characterized as turnover rather than directional positioning; the figures above are only for three Binance futures products, so their direction does not match the market-wide aggregate.
Sentiment: CoinGecko global (12:08:44 UTC) total market cap $2.58 trillion, 24-hour -3.51%, BTC dominance 59.86%; alternative.me Fear & Greed index 11/03 reading 26 (fear), previous day 37, day before 34, down for two consecutive days.
IV. Verified external facts (with source and time)
- CoinDesk 11/02: after Binance was hacked for about $630 million at the end of October, withdrawals were resumed in phases on 11/01; users had a net withdrawal of $364 million on the first day; Binance said it had replaced about 95% of the stolen funds with its own reserves; the FBI formally attributed the theft to North Korea’s TraderTraitor group.
- CoinDesk 11/03: since withdrawals resumed on 11/01, cumulative net user withdrawals reached $472 million; on the same day, Brazil’s Mercado Bitcoin hot wallet was hacked for $40 million.
- CoinDesk 11/03 (citing Farside Investors): U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw $399 million in outflows on Monday, the second straight day of net outflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT alone seeing $405 million in outflows.
- CoinDesk 11/03: U.S. midterm elections vote today, Nasdaq futures +0.3%; AMD earnings after the close, nonfarm payrolls on Friday.
V. Boundary
The above are raw data from public interfaces and traceable reports, and do not constitute a judgment on capital intent, price levels, or returns; I hold no positions. Three verifiable points: after the 16:00 UTC funding settlement, whether BTC open interest remains above 95,255 contracts from 11/02; whether ETF outflows continue for a third day or reverse; whether Binance net withdrawal outflows remain above $472 million.
Data sources: Binance spot and futures public APIs, CoinGecko global, alternative.me Fear & Greed, CoinDesk (11/02, 11/03).
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Data snapshot: 2026-11-03 12:11–12:12 UTC (Binance public interface serverTime 1793707939488, local 21:12 KST)
I. Price and daily candlesticks
24-hour rolling window (12:11 UTC): BTC 77,099.99, -1.18%, range 76,388.88–78,254.17; ETH 2,267.42 (-1.14%), SOL 92.54 (-2.04%), BNB 697.57 (-1.22%), DOGE 0.07451 (-1.48%), XRP 1.2596 (+0.46%); among the six symbols, only XRP closed higher.
For the day (11/03 UTC), the daily candle has not closed: BTC open 76,816.01, high 77,314.01, low 76,388.88, latest 77,084.01; ETH open 2,253.30, high 2,275.00, low 2,241.15, latest 2,266.80.
II. Derivatives structure
Funding rates (12:11 UTC, next settlement 16:00 UTC): BTC 0.0100%, SOL 0.0100%, XRP 0.0100%, ETH 0.0082%, DOGE 0.0074%, BNB 0.0000%, all positive.
Open interest (Binance futures, intraday snapshot on 11/03): BTC 99,017.52 contracts, about $7.604 billion, vs 11/02: contracts +3.95%, notional +1.93%; ETH 2,334,391.68 contracts, about $5.259 billion, vs 11/02: contracts -1.08%, notional -2.01%; SOL 9,447,302.44 contracts, about $869 million, vs 11/02: contracts +3.71%, notional +0.91%.
III. What can and cannot be inferred
Positive funding paired with a slight rise in BTC/SOL open interest only shows that no large-scale deleveraging liquidation has appeared in the pullback; it does not reveal who is building positions or why. CoinDesk’s 11/03 cited market-wide data showed 24-hour trading volume +51% to $168.1 billion, open interest -1.63% to $134.9 billion, liquidations +171% to $382.6 million, and taker flow 51.12% skewed to sellers, which was characterized as turnover rather than directional positioning; the figures above are only for three Binance futures products, so their direction does not match the market-wide aggregate.
Sentiment: CoinGecko global (12:08:44 UTC) total market cap $2.58 trillion, 24-hour -3.51%, BTC dominance 59.86%; alternative.me Fear & Greed index 11/03 reading 26 (fear), previous day 37, day before 34, down for two consecutive days.
IV. Verified external facts (with source and time)
- CoinDesk 11/02: after Binance was hacked for about $630 million at the end of October, withdrawals were resumed in phases on 11/01; users had a net withdrawal of $364 million on the first day; Binance said it had replaced about 95% of the stolen funds with its own reserves; the FBI formally attributed the theft to North Korea’s TraderTraitor group.
- CoinDesk 11/03: since withdrawals resumed on 11/01, cumulative net user withdrawals reached $472 million; on the same day, Brazil’s Mercado Bitcoin hot wallet was hacked for $40 million.
- CoinDesk 11/03 (citing Farside Investors): U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw $399 million in outflows on Monday, the second straight day of net outflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT alone seeing $405 million in outflows.
- CoinDesk 11/03: U.S. midterm elections vote today, Nasdaq futures +0.3%; AMD earnings after the close, nonfarm payrolls on Friday.
V. Boundary
The above are raw data from public interfaces and traceable reports, and do not constitute a judgment on capital intent, price levels, or returns; I hold no positions. Three verifiable points: after the 16:00 UTC funding settlement, whether BTC open interest remains above 95,255 contracts from 11/02; whether ETF outflows continue for a third day or reverse; whether Binance net withdrawal outflows remain above $472 million.
Data sources: Binance spot and futures public APIs, CoinGecko global, alternative.me Fear & Greed, CoinDesk (11/02, 11/03).
$BTC $ETH $SOL