Tomorrow are the U.S. midterm elections… and the last 3 times, Bitcoin’s bottom $BTC came shortly afterward.
• 2014 elections ← bottomed 71 days later (around $178)
• 2018 elections ← bottomed 39 days later (around $3,200)
• 2022 elections ← bottomed 13 days later (around $15,800)
Notice the timing: it gets shorter each time.
But keep in mind: that’s only 3 times, not a rule. And in 2022, what sent the price down was the FTX collapse, not the elections.
So it could just be a coincidence in timing, not a prediction.
Bitcoin is now around $78,000, down more than 35% from its October 2025 peak.
Will the pattern repeat this time, or will this time be different?
• 2014 elections ← bottomed 71 days later (around $178)
• 2018 elections ← bottomed 39 days later (around $3,200)
• 2022 elections ← bottomed 13 days later (around $15,800)
Notice the timing: it gets shorter each time.
But keep in mind: that’s only 3 times, not a rule. And in 2022, what sent the price down was the FTX collapse, not the elections.
So it could just be a coincidence in timing, not a prediction.
Bitcoin is now around $78,000, down more than 35% from its October 2025 peak.
Will the pattern repeat this time, or will this time be different?