Everyone’s talking about the midterm elections! Bingtang is taking a look at them too—the vote is on November 3.
Trading volume has shrunk this much because the market is waiting for this moment!
Here’s my conclusion up front: the Republicans will win, and it won’t be a narrow victory.
👇
1. I see the Republicans taking 53 seats in the Senate, with the Democrats holding onto 47 at most. The reasoning is simple: look at the map of seats up for election. The Democrats have too many states to defend and can’t afford to lose even one. Lose one, and the whole thing flips.
2. I’m giving the Republicans around 230 seats in the House, so they’ll stay in control. Don’t listen to all that talk about a “close race”—that’s what people say to those who don’t know the full story.
3. Why am I willing to make this call? Look at the issues.
Voters have just three things on their minds right now: prices, interest rates, and jobs.
The Republicans’ message on all three is more direct. The Democrats have argued among themselves for ages without putting forward an economic plan people can remember.
4. Some people push back with “the party in power always loses seats in midterm elections.” I accept that rule, but it only applies when there are no other factors at play. This time, the other side is the factor—they’ve got no cards to play.
5. What happens to the market?
If the Republicans sweep, tax cuts and deregulation will be priced in early. U.S. stocks will rise first, and crypto will follow.
$BTC I’m directly looking for this wave to return to above 85,000. It’s not a dream—it’s an expectations gap. But the moment the results are in, the good news will be fully priced in, so don’t buy at the top. The real way to make money isn’t to guess the direction correctly; it’s to stay in the game until the results come out. Once the votes are cast, the market will go back to where it belongs. The election is a catalyst.
Trading volume has shrunk this much because the market is waiting for this moment!
Here’s my conclusion up front: the Republicans will win, and it won’t be a narrow victory.
👇
1. I see the Republicans taking 53 seats in the Senate, with the Democrats holding onto 47 at most. The reasoning is simple: look at the map of seats up for election. The Democrats have too many states to defend and can’t afford to lose even one. Lose one, and the whole thing flips.
2. I’m giving the Republicans around 230 seats in the House, so they’ll stay in control. Don’t listen to all that talk about a “close race”—that’s what people say to those who don’t know the full story.
3. Why am I willing to make this call? Look at the issues.
Voters have just three things on their minds right now: prices, interest rates, and jobs.
The Republicans’ message on all three is more direct. The Democrats have argued among themselves for ages without putting forward an economic plan people can remember.
4. Some people push back with “the party in power always loses seats in midterm elections.” I accept that rule, but it only applies when there are no other factors at play. This time, the other side is the factor—they’ve got no cards to play.
5. What happens to the market?
If the Republicans sweep, tax cuts and deregulation will be priced in early. U.S. stocks will rise first, and crypto will follow.
$BTC I’m directly looking for this wave to return to above 85,000. It’s not a dream—it’s an expectations gap. But the moment the results are in, the good news will be fully priced in, so don’t buy at the top. The real way to make money isn’t to guess the direction correctly; it’s to stay in the game until the results come out. Once the votes are cast, the market will go back to where it belongs. The election is a catalyst.
